Match Info

Polish Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Kalisz)


	KKS Kalisz		GKS Jastrzębie

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.2	4.8
	1.62	4.25	4.35
	1.66	4.13	3.8
	1.54	4.51	4.51	Watch
	1.53	4	4.75
	1.59	3.92	4.66	Watch
	1.37	4.75	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.38)	4.25 ↓ (4.85)	4.75 ↓ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KKS Kalisz
59.3%

Draw
21.5%

GKS Jastrzębie
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

19.1%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

18%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KKS Kalisz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KKS Kalisz's form might have worsened.

GKS Jastrzębie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GKS Jastrzębie's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KKS Kalisz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GKS Jastrzębie, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

KKS Kalisz - GKS Jastrzębie Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. KKS Kalisz will win (votes: 3 - 50%). GKS Jastrzębie will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. KKS Kalisz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - KKS Kalisz (1.37) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +0.5 - GKS Jastrzębie (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. KKS Kalisz (votes: 4 - 66.7%). GKS Jastrzębie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Matysek S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 2, Matysek S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KKS Kalisz won 3.

In recent matches, KKS Kalisz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

GKS Jastrzębie is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

GKS Jastrzębie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, KKS Kalisz is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, KKS Kalisz won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, KKS Kalisz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 2
03.08.25	KKS Kalisz - Sokół Kleczew	1:1 ✺
25.07.25	Swit Skolwin - KKS Kalisz	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	KKS Kalisz - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:3 ✺
09.07.25	KKS Kalisz - Elana Toruń	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
12.06.25	Wieczysta Kraków - KKS Kalisz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLWL
- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 2
02.08.25	GKS Jastrzębie - ŁKS Łódź II	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - GKS Jastrzębie	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	3:3 ✺
16.07.25	GKS Jastrzębie - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
07.06.25	KKS Kalisz - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
07.06.25	KKS Kalisz - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1
10.11.24	GKS Jastrzębie - KKS Kalisz	0:2
13.03.24	GKS Jastrzębie - KKS Kalisz	1:1
Polish Cup
08.08.23	KKS Kalisz - GKS Jastrzębie	2:1 penalties
Polish Division 2
04.08.23	KKS Kalisz - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1
18.03.23	KKS Kalisz - GKS Jastrzębie	2:0
14.08.22	GKS Jastrzębie - KKS Kalisz	1:1

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