Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Miejski (Kalisz) 🌤️ ...


	KKS Kalisz		Lech Poznań 2

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.40	2.60
	2.16	3.40	2.75
	2.43	3.41	2.46
	2.31	3.54	2.65	Watch
	2.40	3.35	2.40
	2.61	3.79	2.30	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.16)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	2.55 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KKS Kalisz
38.6%

Draw
26%

Lech Poznań 2
35.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

26.2%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KKS Kalisz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Lech Poznań 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

KKS Kalisz - Lech Poznań 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Szymczak W. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Janyszka H. ⚽,
35', 0 - 3, Dziuba M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 0 - 4, Sledzinski E. ⚽,
76', 1 - 4, Wiktoruk B. ⚽,
88', 2 - 4, Hanc D. ⚽,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KKS Kalisz won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Lech 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, KKS Kalisz has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:19 (averaging 1.3:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for KKS Kalisz against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:7 goals (averaging 1.5:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Lech Poznan II	13	6	3	4	28:26	2	21
12	KKS Kalisz	14	4	6	4	18:20	-2	18

Last Results with these Odds

Lech Poznań 2 - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.45%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.10.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - KKS Kalisz	5:0 ✺
27.09.26	KKS Kalisz - Kluczevia Stargard	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - KKS Kalisz	1:1
12.09.26	KKS Kalisz - Wda Świecie	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Września - KKS Kalisz	3:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWTTT
- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.09.26	Elana Toruń - Lech Poznań 2	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Noteć Czarnków	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Unia Swarzędz - Lech Poznań 2	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Grom Nowy Staw	2:4 ✺
23.08.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Lech Poznań 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
04.05.24	Lech Poznań 2 - KKS Kalisz	1:1
20.10.23	KKS Kalisz - Lech Poznań 2	2:1
23.04.23	Lech Poznań 2 - KKS Kalisz	0:4
18.09.22	KKS Kalisz - Lech Poznań 2	2:2
01.05.22	Lech Poznań 2 - KKS Kalisz	1:0
23.10.21	KKS Kalisz - Lech Poznań 2	2:2
15.05.21	Lech Poznań 2 - KKS Kalisz	2:0

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