The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olimpia Grudziądz 52.5%
Draw 24.7%
Warta Poznań 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
28.3%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
27.9%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Grudziądz's performance.
Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warta Poznań might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Grudziądz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Olimpia Grudziądz - Warta Poznań Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Sobolewski S. (G) 10. Cichon K. 5. Czajka B. 44. Frelek D. 18. Jarzec K. 9. Mas M. 13. Moneta L. 26. Sewerzynski O. 32. Stolc P. 93. Tsyupa I. 25. Zbiciak B.
42. Przybylak L. (G) 24. Avdeev D. 35. Jakubowski F. 8. Kumoch K. (C) 23. Kusztal P. 3. Michalski S. 29. Rychert K. 9. Stanek M. 71. Steblecki S. 17. Stefaniak M. 19. Szymanek K.
Substitutes
. Brzek B. 16. Fietz K. 7. Kaczmarek T. 42. Kardas A. 3. Klimczak A. 77. Kobryn R. 80. Olszak D. (G) 69. Pawlowski M. 17. Siemaszko A.
20. Dziedzic K. 16. Kornobis I. 1. Kosiorek J. (G) 13. Niedzielski J. 99. Smoczynski M. 11. Tonder F. 7. Walus F. 21. Zylla M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Kusztal P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
47', 1 - 1, Frelek D. ⚽,
52', 1 - 2, Stefaniak M. ⚽,
55', 2 - 2, Czajka B. ⚽,
55', Szymanek K. 🟨,
57', Avdeev D. 🟨,
65', Kusztal P. ↓, Walus F. ↑,
73', 2 - 3, Stanek M. ⚽, Stefaniak M. (A),
74', Cichon K. ↓, Fietz K. ↑,
74', Mas M. ↓, Pawlowski M. ↑,
76', Moneta L. ↓, Koperski F. ↑,
76', Tsyupa I. ↓, Brzek B. ↑,
76', Stanek M. ↓, Smoczynski M. ↑,
80', Stolc P. 🟨,
90', 2 - 4, Walus F. ⚽,
90+1', Szymanek K. ↓, Zylla M. ↑,
90+1', Steblecki S. ↓, Dziedzic K. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 3.
Olimpia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Warta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Warta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Olimpia might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now
Ol. Grudziadz: 6.52%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Ol. Grudziadz
10
4
3
3
13:16
-3
15
Last Results with these Odds
Olimpia Grudziądz - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 43.85%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Warta Poznań - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 27.85%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Poland
Watch
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Sobolewski S. (G) 
Tsyupa I. 
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