Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Miejski Stadion Sportowy (Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski)


	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski		Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.65	4.3
	1.74	3.56	3.99
	1.64	3.84	4.46	Watch
	1.71	3.5	3.85
	1.79	3.94	3.73	Watch
	1.44	4	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.44)	3.75 ↓ (4)	4.27 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
54.7%

Draw
24.2%

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

22.1%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

20.8%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski's form might have worsened.

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Pogoń Sokół Lubaczów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Snopczynski B. ⚽, Siedlecki L. (A),
45+1', Lazarz P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Ostrowiec is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lubaczów is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lubaczów may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ostrowiec is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ostrowiec won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ostrowiec won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	11	5	5	1	16:9	7	20
18	Lubaczow	12	2	2	8	12:22	-10	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.08.26	Wiślanie Skawina - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	2:2 ✺
14.08.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Korona Kielce 2	3:2 ✺
09.08.26	Star Starachowice - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Czarni Połaniec	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWTWT
- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.08.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wisła II Kraków	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Chełmianka Chełm	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Hutnik - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3:1 ✺
08.07.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.04.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:1
05.10.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:0
10.05.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0
12.10.24	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:1

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