Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 11

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Wisłoka Dębica		Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.50	2.95
	2.14	3.34	2.90
	2.34	3.44	2.67	Watch
	2.11	3.30	2.85
	2.20	3.90	2.95	Watch
	1.88	3.51	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.88)	3.5 ↓ (3.51)	2.92 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisłoka Dębica
42.9%

Draw
26%

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

25.2%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

23.2%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisłoka Dębica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisłoka Dębica than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wisłoka Dębica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wisłoka Dębica - Pogoń Sokół Lubaczów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Kulon D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 1 - 1, Gul M. ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, Lukasik R. ⚽,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th and 18th in the Relegation).

Wisłoka Dębica has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Lubaczów has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Wisłoka Dębica is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Wisłoka Dębica has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wisłoka Dębica against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:2 goals (averaging 2:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Wisloka Debica	11	7	1	3	16:13	3	22
18	Lubaczow	11	2	1	8	11:21	-10	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisłoka Dębica
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
25.09.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Wisłoka Dębica	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Korona Kielce 2	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Star Starachowice - Wisłoka Dębica	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Wisłoka Dębica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWWL
- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.09.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	JKS Jarosław - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Busko-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Czarni Połaniec - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Hetman Zamość	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.07.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:1
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
18.04.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wisłoka Dębica	1:0
26.09.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0
22.03.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wisłoka Dębica	3:0
24.08.24	Wisłoka Dębica - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	4:1

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