Match Info

Veikkausliiga

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday

Location: Arto Tolsa Areena (Kotka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	KTP Kotka		Inter Turku

	1	X	2
	15	6.5	1.18	Watch
	8.25	5.25	1.33
	9.55	6.15	1.28	Watch
	10.13	5.7	1.32
	17.15	8.54	1.13	Watch
	8.5	4.75	1.35
	10.5	5.8	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.3 ↑ (6.39)	6.1 ↑ (4.02)	1.27 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KTP Kotka
8.5%

Draw
15.7%

Inter Turku
75.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

23%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

22.5%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KTP Kotka's form might have worsened.

Inter Turku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Turku's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KTP Kotka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Turku than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter Turku, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	7.7%	69.2%

KTP Kotka - Inter Turku Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. KTP will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Inter Turku will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Turku: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Turku (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Inter Turku (1.80) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Turku (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Linner O. (G) 4. Toivio J. (C) 14. Lehtiranta J. 26. Paavola M. 24. Toivonen A. 19. Glasson M. 6. Tahmbi N. 37. Tanaka A. 18. Seck A. 7. Makela J. 28. Rangel	1. Huuhtanen E. (G) 5. Granlund A. (C) 22. Kuittinen L. 16. Straalman B. 2. Niska J. 10. Krebs F. 28. Kouame A. 17. Ampofo B. 23. Essomba L. 6. Legbo D. 9. Tuominen J.
Substitutes
15. Edlund C. 8. Elle Essouma F. 10. Forsell P. 2. Huhtamaki U. 1. Koski J. (G) 34. Linner A. 30. Puhakainen L. 29. Ruohio A. 21. Sumusalo M.	11. Botue J. 3. Hamalainen J. 25. Kekarainen J. 14. Lahdensuo T. 20. Sarr M. 24. Sipola S. 4. Vehkonen V. 12. Vuorjoki E. (G) 8. Yli-Kokko J.
Coaches
Nyholm J.	Vasara V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', Tanaka A. 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Essomba L. ⚽, Kouame A. (A),
16', Glasson M. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Rangel ⚽, Tanaka A. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Essomba L. ⚽, Kouame A. (A),
33', 2 - 2, Seck A. ⚽, Toivonen A. (A),
40', Niska J. ↓, Hamalainen J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Tuominen J. ↓, Botue J. ↑,
65', Legbo D. ↓, Sarr M. ↑,
70', Rangel 🟨,
80', Rangel ↓, Forsell P. ↑,
82', Granlund A. ↓, Sipola S. ↑,
82', Ampofo B. ↓, Yli-Kokko J. ↑,
88', Sarr M. 🟨,
89', Krebs F. 🟨,
90+2', Glasson M. ↓, Ruohio A. ↑,
90+2', Seck A. ↓, Linner A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 0.

Recent form of KTP has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Inter Turku is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Inter Turku is the clear favorite.

There are questionable in Inter Turku: Jarvinen I. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, KTP won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:31. (average 1.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.7:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTP Kotka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
13.07.25	Oulu - KTP Kotka	3:2 ✺
07.07.25	KTP Kotka - Gnistan	0:0 ✺
02.07.25	Ilves - KTP Kotka	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	KTP Kotka - FF Jaro	3:2 ✺
19.06.25	Inter Turku - KTP Kotka	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLWL
- Inter Turku
Finnish Veikkausliiga
12.07.25	Inter Turku - FF Jaro	3:1 ✺
06.07.25	Haka - Inter Turku	0:1 ✺
02.07.25	Inter Turku - IFK Mariehamn	0:0 ✺
27.06.25	Gnistan - Inter Turku	2:2 ✺
19.06.25	Inter Turku - KTP Kotka	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
19.06.25	Inter Turku - KTP Kotka	5:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
08.02.25	KTP Kotka - Inter Turku	1:2
Finnish Cup
16.06.24	KTP Kotka - Inter Turku	1:5
Finnish Veikkausliiga
07.08.23	KTP Kotka - Inter Turku	1:4
07.06.23	Inter Turku - KTP Kotka	2:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
18.02.23	KTP Kotka - Inter Turku	2:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.08.21	KTP Kotka - Inter Turku	1:3

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