Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 17

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Veritas Stadion (Turku)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Inter Turku		Gnistan

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	4.33	Watch
	1.70	3.90	4.50
	1.7	3.7	4.7	Watch
	1.79	4.05	4.48
	1.69	4.1	4.62	Watch
	1.76	4	4.25
	1.72	3.81	4.46	Watch
	1.69	3.7	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.64)	3.87 ↓ (4.13)	4.44 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Turku
54.7%

Draw
24.2%

Gnistan
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

22.9%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

22.4%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Turku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Turku than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	12.5%	6.2%

Inter Turku - Gnistan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Turku (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Inter Turku will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Huuhtanen E. (G) 18. Saarinen S. 30. Amankwah Y. 21. Kangasniemi I. 24. Tauriainen J. 35. Kiiskila E. 4. Ahiabu P. (C) 14. Laine J. 23. Essomba L. 11. Botue J. 16. Jephta C.	32. Juricka M. (G) 27. Hannula O. 24. Gnanou R. 67. Obileye A. (C) 4. Marcelo Costa 12. Arko-Mensah E. 10. Latonen J. 15. Europaeus G. 31. Jouhi A. 23. Ylatupa S. 17. Akinyemi A.
Substitutes
17. Ampofo B. 10. Conteh A. 19. Jarvinen I. 22. Kuittinen L. 2. Niska J. 25. Salomaa H. 9. Tuominen J. 27. Ulundu V. 12. Vuorjoki E. (G)	2. Dahlstrom B. 26. Eremenko R. 14. Eremenko S. 13. Lyberopoulos O. (G) 40. Ojala J. 11. Perez D. 25. Rossi N. 50. Selenge J.
Coaches
Vasara V.	Leppalahti J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Akinyemi A. ⚽, Latonen J. (A),
45', Kangasniemi I. 🟥,
45+2', 0 - 2, Latonen J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Laine J. ↓, Conteh A. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Conteh A. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Latonen J. ↓, Eremenko R. ↑,
57', Akinyemi A. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
61', Saarinen S. ↓, Niska J. ↑,
66', Ylatupa S. 🟨,
73', Essomba L. ↓, Kuittinen L. ↑,
73', Botue J. ↓, Tuominen J. ↑,
85', Jephta C. ↓, Ulundu V. ↑,
85', Arko-Mensah E. ↓, Dahlstrom B. ↑,
90', Ylatupa S. ↓, Eremenko S. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Turku won 3.

Inter Turku is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Gnistan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gnistan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Inter Turku has had a series of away games.

In this match, Inter Turku is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Gnistan: Bashkirov E. (Knee Injury) Launiala K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Inter Turku: Granlund A. (Inactive) Yli-Kokko J. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Inter Turku won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter Turku won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

Inter Turku: 44.48% Gnistan: 2.17%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter Turku	26	13	10	3	32:18	14	49
4	Gnistan	26	11	9	6	40:32	8	42

Last Results with these Odds

Gnistan - the odds 4.85 are the expected chance of winning is 19.49%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Turku
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Inter Turku	1:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
19.07.26	FF Jaro - Inter Turku	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Inter Turku - Sarajevo	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Sarajevo - Inter Turku	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
30.06.26	VPS Vaasa - Inter Turku	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTWTW
- IF Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.07.26	Oulu - Gnistan	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn	4:2 ✺
04.07.26	Lahti - Gnistan	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Gnistan - VPS Vaasa	1:1 ✺
23.06.26	FF Jaro - Gnistan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
05.05.26	Gnistan - Inter Turku	2:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
17.01.26	Gnistan - Inter Turku	0:3
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.10.25	Inter Turku - Gnistan	2:1
13.09.25	Gnistan - Inter Turku	0:2
27.06.25	Gnistan - Inter Turku	2:2
12.04.25	Inter Turku - Gnistan	3:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
15.02.25	Inter Turku - Gnistan	2:0

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