Match Info

Suomen Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Arto Tolsa Areena (Kotka)


	KTP Kotka		Lahti

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.9	1.55
	5.07	3.91	1.82
	5.14	4.01	1.54	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.57
	4.64	4.02	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (3.47)	3.89 ↑ (3.29)	1.62 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KTP Kotka
19.1%

Draw
23.8%

Lahti
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

27.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

26.1%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KTP Kotka's form might have worsened.

Lahti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lahti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KTP Kotka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lahti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

KTP Kotka - Lahti Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. KTP will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Lahti will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Andersson E. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Lindholm A. ⚽,
20', 0 - 3, Ojanen J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 3, Sunday G. ⚽,
90+1', Puhakainen L. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 1.

KTP has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lahti has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

KTP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lahti has had a series of away games.

In this match, Lahti is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, KTP won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTP Kotka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
10.04.26	KTP Kotka - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	KTP Kotka - Gnistan	1:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
14.03.26	KaPa - KTP Kotka	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	SJK Akatemia - KTP Kotka	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTWWW
- FC Lahti
Finnish Veikkausliiga
10.04.26	TPS - Lahti	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	FF Jaro - Lahti	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	Lahti - JIPPO	1:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
05.03.26	IFK Mariehamn - Lahti	4:0 ✺
22.02.26	Gnistan - Lahti	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
15.09.23	Lahti - KTP Kotka	2:1
27.06.23	KTP Kotka - Lahti	2:0
13.05.23	Lahti - KTP Kotka	0:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
25.02.23	Lahti - KTP Kotka	5:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
03.10.21	Lahti - KTP Kotka	2:1
22.09.21	KTP Kotka - Lahti	1:2
30.07.21	Lahti - KTP Kotka	3:0

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