Match Info

Date: 3 June 2022, Friday

Location: Arto Tolsa Areena (Kotka)


	KTP Kotka		PIF Pargas

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.42	4.1	6.25
	1.42	4.25	6.5
	1.43	4.3	6.2
	1.47	4.57	7.18
	1.4	4	7
	1.44	4.45	6.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.46)	4.27 ↑ (4.2)	6.47 ↑ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KTP Kotka
64.2%

Draw
21.5%

PIF Pargas
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

21.7%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

22.3%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

PIF Pargas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for KTP Kotka aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PIF Pargas than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.5%	8.7%	34.8%

KTP Kotka - PIF Pargas Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. KTP will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). PIF will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KTP: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches KTP is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

PIF is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

PIF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match KTP is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTP Kotka
Finnish Ykkonen
30.05.22	KTP Kotka - Ekenäs	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
25.05.22	KTP Kotka - Haka	2:4 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
20.05.22	JäPS - KTP Kotka	2:1 ✺
08.05.22	KPV Kokkola - KTP Kotka	1:3 ✺
Finnish Cup
03.05.22	PeKa - KTP Kotka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLWW
- PIF Pargas
Finnish Ykkonen
29.05.22	PIF Pargas - JäPS	0:1 ✺
21.05.22	Gnistan - PIF Pargas	1:0 ✺
14.05.22	PIF Pargas - KPV Kokkola	1:2 ✺
09.05.22	TPS - PIF Pargas	0:2 ✺
30.04.22	PIF Pargas - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LLLWL

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