Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Pajbackan Kentta (Parainen)


	PIF Pargas		Mikkelin Palloilijat

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.53
	5	4	1.5
	4.8	4.2	1.55
	5	4.3	1.52
	5.44	4.51	1.55
	5.5	3.8	1.5
	5.2	4.33	1.52
	5	4.2	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.15 ↑ (3.63)	4.21 ↑ (3.4)	1.52 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PIF Pargas
17.8%

Draw
21.8%

Mikkelin Palloilijat
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

26.6%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

25.7%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PIF Pargas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PIF Pargas's form might have worsened.

Mikkelin Palloilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mikkelin Palloilijat's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PIF Pargas than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PIF Pargas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mikkelin Palloilijat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

PIF Pargas - Mikkelin Palloilijat Predictions

Users Predictions: Mikkelin Palloilijat will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

PIF has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mikkelin Palloilijat in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently PIF have a series of guest games.

Recently Mikkelin Palloilijat have a series of home games.

Mikkelin Palloilijat will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Mikkelin Palloilijat to win the game is with odds 1.89.

Last 2 head-to-head matches PIF won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams PIF won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PIF Pargas
Finnish Ykkonen
10.09.22	Gnistan - PIF Pargas	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	FF Jaro - PIF Pargas	4:0 ✺
27.08.22	PIF Pargas - PEPO Lappeenranta	0:2 ✺
23.08.22	SJK Akatemia - PIF Pargas	4:0 ✺
13.08.22	Ekenäs - PIF Pargas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkonen
10.09.22	Mikkelin Palloilijat - PK-35 Vantaa	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Mikkelin Palloilijat - JäPS	2:0 ✺
28.08.22	Gnistan - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:2 ✺
21.08.22	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KPV Kokkola	1:1 ✺
16.08.22	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KTP Kotka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
06.07.22	Mikkelin Palloilijat - PIF Pargas	2:3
30.04.22	PIF Pargas - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:3

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