Match Info

FINLAND: Ykkosliiga

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Arto Tolsa Areena (Kotka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu


	KTP Kotka		Salon Palloilijat

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.38	5	7
	1.4	5.04	6.82
	1.42	4.8	6.54	Watch
	1.39	4.8	6.61
	1.38	4.6	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.62)	4.85 ↑ (4)	6.67 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KTP Kotka
66.8%

Draw
19.2%

Salon Palloilijat
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

23.2%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

22.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KTP Kotka's performance.

Salon Palloilijat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Salon Palloilijat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KTP Kotka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salon Palloilijat than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salon Palloilijat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

KTP Kotka - Salon Palloilijat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Zhuk M. (G) 16. Huttunen A. 8. Laaksonen J. 7. Makela J. 17. Manga T. 24. Otu K. 26. Paavola M. 21. Sumusalo M. (C) 9. Tarvonen A. 6. Vesiaho V. 10. Weckstrom L.	30. Mikkonen A. (G) 18. Agyiri T. 4. Foster K. 12. Garrett I. 11. Jakonen O. 7. Jalonen J. 22. Jannes A. (C) 13. Jarvinen J. 17. John M. 8. Poysa S. 16. Sistonen T.
Substitutes
14. Edlund C. 30. Harbas A. 2. Huhtamaki U. 1. Jammeh S. (G) 22. Kyllonen L. 15. Stenius S. 20. Tanninen A.	24. Gronlund F. 10. Jakonen O. 1. Koski J. (G) 26. Lehtisalo O. 3. Meura J. 5. Miyamoto K.
Coaches
Nyholm J.	Aluja J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Tarvonen A. ⚽, Makela J. (A),
7', 2 - 0, Laaksonen J. ⚽, Otu K. (A),
29', 3 - 0, Weckstrom L. ⚽, Tarvonen A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Foster K. ↓, Lehtisalo O. ↑,
52', 4 - 0, Laaksonen J. ⚽, Tarvonen A. (A),
54', 5 - 0, Weckstrom L. ⚽, Huttunen A. (A),
55', Weckstrom L. 🟨,
57', Laaksonen J. ↓, Stenius S. ↑,
57', Tarvonen A. ↓, Edlund C. ↑,
62', 6 - 0, Harbas A. ⚽, Huttunen A. (A),
63', Jakonen O. ↓, Miyamoto K. ↑,
66', Makela J. ↓, Huhtamaki U. ↑,
74', Garrett I. ↓, Jakonen O. ↑,
74', Otu K. ↓, Kyllonen L. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga and 5).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

SalPa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match KTP is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches KTP won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTP Kotka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
17.07.24	KTP Kotka - TPS	1:2 ✺
14.07.24	FF Jaro - KTP Kotka	5:2 ✺
05.07.24	JäPS - KTP Kotka	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	KTP Kotka - PK-35 Vantaa	1:0 ✺
20.06.24	SJK Akatemia - KTP Kotka	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTWW
- Salon Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkosliiga
17.07.24	Salon Palloilijat - SJK Akatemia	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	TPS - Salon Palloilijat	2:3 ✺
06.07.24	Salon Palloilijat - FF Jaro	0:1 ✺
30.06.24	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Salon Palloilijat	0:1 ✺
19.06.24	Salon Palloilijat - JäPS	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
08.06.24	Salon Palloilijat - KTP Kotka	2:2

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