Match Info

FINLAND: YKKONEN

Date: 26 May 2023, Friday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)


	KaPa		HIFK

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.7	Watch
	4	3.6	1.7
	4.2	3.5	1.78
	4.81	3.92	1.71
	4.4	3.5	1.67
	4.5	3.78	1.7
	4.1	3.65	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (3.19)	3.65 ↑ (3.1)	1.71 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KaPa
21.1%

Draw
25.2%

HIFK
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

29.2%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

28.9%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KaPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KaPa's form might have worsened.

HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HIFK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KaPa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HIFK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

KaPa - HIFK Predictions

Users Predictions: HIFK will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nokelainen L. (G) 4. Huhtala R. 3. Heikurinen N. 12. Pulkkinen M. 10. Soderback M. (C) 8. Forsman P. 7. Nsombo C. 5. Soiniemi A. 27. Lahdensuo T. 28. Kekarainen J. 9. Yokochi T.	31. Tiainen J. (G) 23. Arajuuri P. (C) 4. Aijo I. 27. Finnas R. 18. Hanninen M. 21. Puro E. 13. Jarvinen J. 24. Coker M. 7. Azodo R. 44. Tukiainen S. 10. Ahadi M.
Substitutes
14. Hietalahti P. 23. Karsama I. 17. Lonnqvist C. 21. Piispa A. (G) 29. Salmi J. 11. Tammivuori S. 18. Valakari T.	3. Hackspik J. 16. Hypponen A. 1. Jammeh S. (G) 30. Pallas E. 25. Pasi T. 11. Saira N. 19. Wahlman A.
Coaches
Aluja J.	Okkonen S.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

Recent matches KaPa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

HIFK in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

HIFK will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KaPa
Finnish Ykkonen
20.05.23	JJK Jyväskylä - KaPa	1:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
17.05.23	TuPS - KaPa	0:7 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
12.05.23	KaPa - Salon Palloilijat	2:3 ✺
06.05.23	SJK Akatemia - KaPa	5:3 ✺
29.04.23	KaPa - Gnistan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLL
- HIFK
Finnish Ykkonen
22.05.23	HIFK - JäPS	2:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
17.05.23	Espoon Palloseura - HIFK	1:4 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
13.05.23	JJK Jyväskylä - HIFK	0:0 ✺
08.05.23	HIFK - KPV Kokkola	1:0 ✺
03.05.23	HIFK - TPS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTWW

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