Match Info

FINLAND: YKKONEN

Date: 3 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)


	HIFK		TPS

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.4	2.25	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.35
	2.75	3.2	2.4
	2.88	3.34	2.51
	2.75	3	2.4
	2.77	3.28	2.45
	2.7	3.25	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.21)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	2.39 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HIFK
33.4%

Draw
28.3%

TPS
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.2%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.8%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HIFK's form might have worsened.

TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting TPS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HIFK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TPS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

HIFK - TPS Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. HIFK will win (votes: 1 - 20%). TPS will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches HIFK won 2.

HIFK is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches TPS is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches HIFK won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams HIFK won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HIFK
Finnish Ykkonen
29.04.23	Salon Palloilijat - HIFK	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
26.04.23	PK-35 Vantaa - HIFK	2:3 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
21.04.23	HIFK - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:2 ✺
14.04.23	HIFK - Gnistan	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.03.23	HIFK - Ilves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWLLL
- TPS
Finnish Ykkonen
29.04.23	TPS - JäPS	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
26.04.23	TPS - Ilves	0:2 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
22.04.23	KPV Kokkola - TPS	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Ekenäs - TPS	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.04.23	TPS - Jazz Pori	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.03.22	HIFK - TPS	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.08.20	TPS - HIFK	1:0
10.08.20	HIFK - TPS	2:0
Finnish Cup
07.02.20	TPS - HIFK	1:0
Club Friendly
31.03.17	HIFK - TPS	1:3
07.03.14	TPS - HIFK	0:2

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