Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Brahenkentta (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	KaPa		Salon Palloilijat

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	4.25	3.9
	2.17	4.49	2.79
	1.68	4.3	3.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.71)	4.35 ↑ (4.23)	3.55 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KaPa
51.5%

Draw
21.8%

Salon Palloilijat
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

22%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

21.5%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KaPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Salon Palloilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salon Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

KaPa - Salon Palloilijat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Collin T. (G) 36. Cukici D. (C) 20. Heinonen O. 12. Herronen S. 26. Koivuranta T. 7. Leinonen N. 14. Lika Y. 11. Manneh F. 15. Pastinen A. 29. Puputti S. 18. Valakari T.	30. Mikkonen A. (G) 29. Agyiri T. 19. Boateng E. 14. Helle T. 15. Kone A. 25. Makela E. 3. Meura J. (C) 24. Olanrewaju M. 18. Poysa S. 5. Rautiainen O. 6. Rautiola M.
Substitutes
17. Anini S. 2. Huhtamaki U. 23. Huovinen J. 31. Jouhi A. 21. Malinen C. 33. Prince Ume K. 22. Sivonen A. 24. Vaananen T. (G)	10. Jakonen O. 1. Koski J. (G) 27. Koski M. 9. Lehtisalo O. 8. Mehmeti A. 28. Salonen J.
Coaches
Lummepuro L.	Benamar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Manneh F. ⚽, Koivuranta T. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Olanrewaju M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cukici D. ↓, Jouhi A. ↑,
58', Olanrewaju M. 🟨,
59', Rautiainen O. ↓, Koski M. ↑,
60', Kone A. ↓, Lehtisalo O. ↑,
62', Leinonen N. ↓, Anini S. ↑,
63', Lika Y. ↓, Malinen C. ↑,
63', Valakari T. ↓, Huovinen J. ↑,
74', Lehtisalo O. 🟨,
76', Boateng E. ↓, Jakonen O. ↑,
79', Manneh F. ↓, Prince Ume K. ↑,
85', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, Lehtisalo O. ⚽, Poysa S. (A),

Preview

KaPa is Ykkosliiga (Relegation)

SalPa is Relegated to Ykkonen

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KaPa won 2.

KaPa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SalPa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, KaPa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, KaPa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, KaPa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KaPa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
04.10.25	JIPPO - KaPa	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Ekenäs - KaPa	4:1 ✺
19.09.25	KaPa - SJK Akatemia	3:1 ✺
12.09.25	PK-35 Vantaa - KaPa	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	KaPa - JäPS	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWTL
- Salon Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkosliiga
04.10.25	Salon Palloilijat - TPS	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Klubi 04 - Salon Palloilijat	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Salon Palloilijat - Lahti	1:4 ✺
12.09.25	Ekenäs - Salon Palloilijat	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Salon Palloilijat - PK-35 Vantaa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
13.07.25	Salon Palloilijat - KaPa	1:0
21.05.25	KaPa - Salon Palloilijat	3:1
05.10.24	Salon Palloilijat - KaPa	1:4
12.06.24	Salon Palloilijat - KaPa	1:1
19.04.24	KaPa - Salon Palloilijat	1:1
Finnish Ykkoscup
02.03.24	KaPa - Salon Palloilijat	0:2
Finnish Ykkonen
01.10.23	KaPa - Salon Palloilijat	1:1

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