Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Markku.fi Areena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	KaPa		PK-35 Vantaa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.7	4.15	1.46
	5.97	4.44	1.54
	5.75	4.37	1.51	Watch
	5.85	4.35	1.47
	5.84	4.2	1.45	Watch
	5.4	4.1	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.75 ↑ (4.12)	4.27 ↑ (3.55)	1.48 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

KaPa
16%

Draw
21.6%

PK-35 Vantaa
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

25.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

25.1%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KaPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KaPa's form might have worsened.

PK-35 Vantaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PK-35 Vantaa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KaPa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PK-35 Vantaa than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PK-35 Vantaa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

KaPa - PK 35 Vantaa Predictions

Users Predictions: PK-35 Vantaa will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Collin T. (G) 4. Hietalahti P. 8. Huhtamaki R. 2. Huhtamaki U. 19. Koivuranta T. 28. Lappalainen E. 7. Leinonen N. 10. Lika Y. 3. Puputti S. 22. Ripatti D. 11. Sillah S.	1. Ramula A. (G) 34. Andberg T. (C) 3. Forsstrom A. 6. Nakanishi J. 88. Pikkuhookana J. 18. Pitkala E. 21. Rasanen K. 9. Sadik I. 2. Sipi R. 19. Tolonen M. 23. Uchiyama S.
Substitutes
35. Brusiin O. (G) 37. Heinonen O. 31. Isaksson K. 24. Lahteenmaki P. 20. Malinen C. 39. Savini S. 23. Shinyella S. 26. Toivonen H.	4. Abdi A. 27. Ahmed-Nur A. 8. Costa J. 14. Kawakita E. 25. Kivela A. (G) 22. Lokake L. 20. Musete E. 24. Ndaziramiye N. 10. Salmensuu O.
Coaches
Lummepuro L.	Santos T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Pitkala E. ⚽,
10', 0 - 2, Uchiyama S. ⚽,
13', 1 - 2, Ripatti D. ⚽,
26', 1 - 3, Pitkala E. ⚽, Nakanishi J. (A),
45+2', Ripatti D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 1 - 4, Pitkala E. ⚽,
55', Pitkala E. ↓, Kawakita E. ↑,
64', Nakanishi J. ↓, Costa J. ↑,
64', Sadik I. ↓, Ahmed-Nur A. ↑,
65', Tolonen M. 🟨,
67', Lika Y. ↓, Isaksson K. ↑,
67', Sillah S. ↓, Heinonen O. ↑,
77', Puputti S. ↓, Savini S. ↑,
77', Ripatti D. ↓, Malinen C. ↑,
77', Uchiyama S. ↓, Musete E. ↑,
78', Tolonen M. ↓, Lokake L. ↑,
86', Lappalainen E. ↓, Shinyella S. ↑,
88', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KaPa won 1.

Recent form of KaPa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

PK-35 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, PK-35 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, KaPa won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, KaPa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	PK-35	26	14	7	5	41:21	20	49
9	KaPa	26	6	7	13	31:46	-15	25

Last Results with these Odds

KaPa - the odds 4.12 are the expected chance of winning is 21.98%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KaPa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
07.09.26	Klubi 04 - KaPa	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	JäPS - KaPa	0:0 ✺
20.08.26	KaPa - JIPPO	1:3 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
15.08.26	KTP Kotka - KaPa	2:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
08.08.26	KaPa - Ekenäs	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLLL
- PK-35 Vantaa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
04.09.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Ekenäs	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - PK-35 Vantaa	0:3 ✺
21.08.26	PK-35 Vantaa - JäPS	3:0 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
15.08.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Klubi 04	1:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
08.08.26	SJK Akatemia - PK-35 Vantaa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
10.07.26	PK-35 Vantaa - KaPa	3:1
17.05.26	KaPa - PK-35 Vantaa	0:0
Finnish Ykkoscup
28.02.26	KaPa - PK-35 Vantaa	1:0
Finnish Ykkosliiga
12.09.25	PK-35 Vantaa - KaPa	1:1
09.07.25	KaPa - PK-35 Vantaa	1:1
18.05.25	PK-35 Vantaa - KaPa	4:0
Club Friendly
06.04.25	PK-35 Vantaa - KaPa	1:0

KaPa - PK-35 Vantaa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide