Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Markku.fi Areena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	KaPa		Klubi 04

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.40	2.55
	2.25	3.55	2.72
	2.31	3.92	2.86
	2.47	3.71	2.57	Watch
	2.2	3.85	2.8
	2.26	3.49	2.95	Watch
	2.2	3.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.15)	3.62 ↑ (3.45)	2.73 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KaPa
40.5%

Draw
25.5%

Klubi 04
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

26.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

25.2%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KaPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Klubi 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Klubi 04 than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

KaPa - Klubi 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. KaPa will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Klubi 04 will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KaPa: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - KaPa (1.98) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. KaPa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Collin T. (G) 9. Almen A. 36. Cukici D. 4. Hietalahti P. 2. Huhtamaki U. 17. Jokiranta V. 25. Kuningas M. (C) 24. Lahteenmaki P. 10. Lika Y. 13. Pulkkinen M. 22. Ripatti D.	78. Niittyvirta E. (G) 45. Barrett R. 59. Gronlund E. 48. Haikala A. 91. Hudd R. 87. Kroupkin N. 63. Le Goff-Conan A. 47. Levealahti E. 46. Nyback I. (C) 95. Olorunfem D. 96. Toivonen I.
Substitutes
14. Ahola E. 8. Huhtamaki R. 18. Jantunen E. 35. Lauri D. (G) 15. Pastinen A. 3. Puputti S. 21. Rokman D. 39. Savini S. 26. Toivonen H.	52. Adetola Q. 72. Berisha A. 71. De Nascimento J. 73. Kesonen D. 61. Konttas V. 74. Mihhalevski R. 77. Rippon L. 79. Tanska J. (G) 54. Zaitra A.
Coaches
Lummepuro L.	Hetemaj P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Olorunfem D. ⚽, Haikala A. (A),
29', Ripatti D. ↓, Toivonen H. ↑,
37', 0 - 2, Olorunfem D. ⚽, Toivonen I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Olorunfem D. ↓, Adetola Q. ↑,
51', Cukici D. 🟨,
53', Huhtamaki U. 🟨,
61', Pulkkinen M. ↓, Jantunen E. ↑,
61', Le Goff-Conan A. ↓, Konttas V. ↑,
64', Adetola Q. 🟨,
65', Hudd R. 🟨,
68', Lika Y. 🟨,
73', Cukici D. ↓, Huhtamaki R. ↑,
74', Lahteenmaki P. ↓, Puputti S. ↑,
74', Jokiranta V. ↓, Ahola E. ↑,
86', Almen A. 🟨,
90+1', Haikala A. ↓, Zaitra A. ↑,
90+1', Hudd R. ↓, De Nascimento J. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 9 in the zone Ykkosliiga (Relegation))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KaPa won 2.

KaPa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Klubi 04 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, KaPa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, KaPa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.5:4.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	KaPa	25	6	6	13	30:45	-15	24
9	Klubi 04	25	5	8	12	30:37	-7	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KaPa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
17.07.26	KaPa - SJK Akatemia	2:2 ✺
10.07.26	PK-35 Vantaa - KaPa	3:1 ✺
28.06.26	KaPa - JäPS	3:1 ✺
13.06.26	JIPPO - KaPa	3:0 ✺
05.06.26	KaPa - KTP Kotka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWLL
- Klubi 04
Finnish Ykkosliiga
17.07.26	Klubi 04 - Haka	2:2 ✺
11.07.26	Klubi 04 - JIPPO	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Klubi 04 - SJK Akatemia	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Klubi 04	2:2 ✺
31.05.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Klubi 04	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
06.04.26	Klubi 04 - KaPa	1:2
23.08.25	Klubi 04 - KaPa	0:1
28.07.25	Klubi 04 - KaPa	1:1
01.06.25	KaPa - Klubi 04	0:5
Finnish Ykkoscup
08.03.25	Klubi 04 - KaPa	4:1
Club Friendly
17.02.24	KaPa - Klubi 04	1:4

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