Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Klubi 04		Haka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.40	3.90	1.57
	4.75	4.05	1.58
	5.14	4.24	1.63
	4.94	4.25	1.6	Watch
	5.05	4.15	1.58
	4.62	4.1	1.64	Watch
	4.5	3.9	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↓ (5.03)	4.08 ↓ (4.12)	1.59 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Klubi 04
19.4%

Draw
22.6%

Haka
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

22.4%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

21.8%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Klubi 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Klubi 04 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Klubi 04 - Haka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Haka (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Haka will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Haka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Haka (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Haapanen M. (G) 45. Barrett R. 59. Gronlund E. 48. Haikala A. 91. Hudd R. 53. Kari J. (C) 61. Konttas V. 87. Kroupkin N. 46. Nyback I. 95. Olorunfem D. 96. Toivonen I.	12. Lepola A. (C) 3. Friberg N. 8. Karlsson J. 44. Keto-Diyawa A. 16. Laaksonen O. 11. Lanquedoc I. 13. Mahlamaki M. 30. Purosalo V. 6. Silas C. 2. Tiihonen A. 77. Whyte O.
Substitutes
52. Adetola Q. 72. Berisha A. 75. Hietalahti J. 43. Huhta K. 63. Le Goff-Conan A. 74. Mihhalevski R. 77. Rippon L. 79. Tanska J. (G) 54. Zaitra A.	9. Ali Abubakar T. 7. Lahdensuo T. 23. Lehtinen T. 19. Martikainen N. 21. Nurmi K. 5. Sovelius T. 15. Syrjalainen M. 1. Ziprus J. (G)
Coaches
Hetemaj P.	Ekmark T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', Nyback I. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Kroupkin N. ⚽, Hudd R. (A),
34', 2 - 0, Hudd R. ⚽, Toivonen I. (A),
37', 2 - 1, Lanquedoc I. ⚽, Whyte O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Karlsson J. ↓, Ali Abubakar T. ↑,
53', Keto-Diyawa A. ↓, Syrjalainen M. ↑,
66', Kroupkin N. 🟨,
69', Lanquedoc I. ↓, Nurmi K. ↑,
69', Silas C. ↓, Lahdensuo T. ↑,
76', Haapanen M. 🟨,
80', Konttas V. ↓, Le Goff-Conan A. ↑,
83', Syrjalainen M. 🟨,
83', Haikala A. 🟨,
83', Olorunfem D. ↓, Adetola Q. ↑,
85', Kari J. 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Lahdensuo T. ⚽, Mahlamaki M. (A),
90+4', Toivonen I. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Ykkosliiga (Relegation) and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Klubi 04 won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Klubi 04 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Haka is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Klubi 04 won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Klubi 04 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Haka	25	13	5	7	47:29	18	44
9	Klubi 04	25	5	8	12	30:37	-7	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Klubi 04
Finnish Ykkosliiga
11.07.26	Klubi 04 - JIPPO	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Klubi 04 - SJK Akatemia	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Klubi 04	2:2 ✺
31.05.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Klubi 04	1:1 ✺
27.05.26	Klubi 04 - PK-35 Vantaa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTTL
- FC Haka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
11.07.26	Haka - Ekenäs	3:1 ✺
05.07.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Haka	2:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
27.06.26	Haka - KTP Kotka	0:2 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
15.06.26	SJK Akatemia - Haka	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	KTP Kotka - Haka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
18.05.26	Haka - Klubi 04	1:1
Club Friendly
15.03.25	Haka - Klubi 04	0:0
24.04.21	Haka - Klubi 04	1:1
12.04.19	Haka - Klubi 04	3:1
Finnish Ykkonen
20.10.18	Haka - Klubi 04	5:0
12.08.18	Klubi 04 - Haka	1:1
14.06.18	Haka - Klubi 04	3:1

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