Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Markku.fi Areena (Helsinki) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	19:00	Ruutu+


	KaPa		Mikkelin Palloilijat

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.18	Watch
	2.99	3.91	2.23
	2.86	3.83	2.21	Watch
	2.9	3.75	2.15
	2.75	3.66	2.13	Watch
	2.05	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.01)	3.73 ↓ (3.98)	2.32 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KaPa
34.5%

Draw
25.1%

Mikkelin Palloilijat
40.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.5%

23.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

22.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KaPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KaPa's form might have worsened.

Mikkelin Palloilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mikkelin Palloilijat's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KaPa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mikkelin Palloilijat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

KaPa - Mikkelin Palloilijat Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. KaPa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Mikkelin Palloilijat will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Mikkelin Palloilijat (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mikkelin Palloilijat (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Collin T. (G) 37. Heinonen O. 4. Hietalahti P. 2. Huhtamaki U. 25. Kuningas M. (C) 28. Lappalainen E. 7. Leinonen N. 10. Lika Y. 3. Puputti S. 22. Ripatti D. 26. Toivonen H.	22. Uronen J. (G) 6. Afshari T. 7. Chishima A. 44. Forsell N. (C) 26. Kuek A. 4. Laiho V. 16. Obioha S. 42. Ring A. 17. Seppanen S. 28. Tervaniemi A. 97. Traore A.
Substitutes
14. Ahola E. 35. Brusiin O. (G) 8. Huhtamaki R. 17. Jokiranta V. 15. Pastinen A. 29. Salmi J. 39. Savini S.	9. Al Sheikh M. 19. Janhunen V. 99. Kerminen P. 8. Koivuniemi M. 18. Krivetz N. 14. Snellman M. 15. Stenius S. 1. Wilson S. (G) 10. Ylonen E.
Coaches
Lummepuro L.	Ozeias Graciano

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Ripatti D. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Seppanen S. ⚽,
14', Ripatti D. 🟨,
15', Forsell N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Heinonen O. 🟨,
63', Puputti S. 🟨,
68', Toivonen H. 🟨,
69', Ring A. 🟨,
70', Heinonen O. ↓, Jokiranta V. ↑,
70', Puputti S. ↓, Huhtamaki R. ↑,
71', Obioha S. ↓, Stenius S. ↑,
80', Toivonen H. ↓, Ahola E. ↑,
85', Tervaniemi A. ↓, Koivuniemi M. ↑,
85', Leinonen N. ↓, Salmi J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KaPa won 4.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with KaPa holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, KaPa has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:14 (averaging 2.8:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for KaPa against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:4 goals (averaging 3:1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KaPa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.09.26	KaPa - Haka	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	SJK Akatemia - KaPa	2:3 ✺
11.09.26	KaPa - PK-35 Vantaa	1:4 ✺
07.09.26	Klubi 04 - KaPa	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	JäPS - KaPa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWLTT
- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.09.26	KTP Kotka - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - JIPPO	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - SJK Akatemia	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Haka - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - PK-35 Vantaa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.5 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
29.07.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KaPa	2:1
19.04.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KaPa	0:1
14.09.24	KaPa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:2
11.07.24	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KaPa	2:6
12.05.24	KaPa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	4:0
Finnish Ykkonen
28.06.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KaPa	6:2
16.04.23	KaPa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:0

KaPa - Mikkelin Palloilijat