Match Info

Ykkosliiga - Relegation - Final

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Brahenkentta (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	KaPa		OLS

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.95	3.3
	1.65	4.29	4.09	Watch
	1.84	3.96	3.51	Watch
	1.66	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.95)	4.05 ↓ (4.13)	3.73 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KaPa
52.6%

Draw
22.7%

OLS
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

22.2%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

22%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KaPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KaPa's performance.

OLS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and OLS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KaPa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OLS than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that OLS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

KaPa - OLS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Piispa A. (G) 17. Anini S. 36. Cukici D. (C) 4. Hietalahti P. 2. Huhtamaki U. 31. Jouhi A. 27. Kallio E. 7. Leinonen N. 14. Lika Y. 11. Manneh F. 34. Okoye F.	98. Schulz N. (G) 55. Ala-Iso S. 31. Babb M. 66. Jatta K. 40. Korhonen J. 26. Korkko J. 37. Paananen J. 15. Parkkila O. 47. Raittinen E. (C) 27. Saarela E. 48. Suutari O.
Substitutes
30. Collin T. (G) 12. Herronen S. 23. Huovinen J. 5. Lindberg P. 6. Nurmi N. 29. Puputti S. 10. Ripatti D. 22. Sivonen A. 18. Valakari T.	54. Aapajarvi A. 34. Fadera M. 25. Merikanto E. 12. Pentti J. (G) 99. Piirto L. 53. Raisanen A. 45. Saarikoski V. 41. Seppanen S. 33. Tolra A.
Coaches
Lummepuro L.	Mannila M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Cukici D. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Manneh F. ⚽, Kallio E. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Anini S. ⚽, Leinonen N. (A),
44', Jatta K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 3 - 0, Anini S. ⚽, Kallio E. (A),
56', 3 - 1, Babb M. ⚽, Korkko J. (A),
59', Korkko J. ↓, Aapajarvi A. ↑,
60', Saarela E. ↓, Raisanen A. ↑,
61', 4 - 1, Kallio E. ⚽, Leinonen N. (A),
64', 4 - 2, Suutari O. ⚽,
72', Lika Y. ↓, Nurmi N. ↑,
80', Suutari O. 🟨,
81', Raittinen E. ↓, Fadera M. ↑,
81', Jatta K. ↓, Piirto L. ↑,
84', Anini S. ↓, Ripatti D. ↑,
84', Cukici D. ↓, Valakari T. ↑,
87', Parkkila O. ↓, Tolra A. ↑,
88', Kallio E. ↓, Huovinen J. ↑,
90+4', Leinonen N. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 3-0. 2nd leg.

In recent matches, KaPa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

OLS is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

KaPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, KaPa is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, KaPa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KaPa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
23.10.25	OLS - KaPa	0:3 ✺
18.10.25	KaPa - Salon Palloilijat	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	JIPPO - KaPa	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Ekenäs - KaPa	4:1 ✺
19.09.25	KaPa - SJK Akatemia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLW
- OLS Oulu
Finnish Ykkosliiga
23.10.25	OLS - KaPa	0:3 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
19.10.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - OLS	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	OLS - JJK Jyväskylä	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	OLS - KPV Kokkola	3:0 ✺
18.09.25	Tampere United - OLS	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
23.10.25	OLS - KaPa	0:3

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