Match Info

Ykkosliiga - Relegation - Final

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Raatin stadion (Oulu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	OLS		KaPa

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.85	2.52
	2.27	4.05	2.74
	2.25	3.83	2.63	Watch
	2.34	3.84	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.07)	3.89 ↑ (3.78)	2.6 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OLS
40.5%

Draw
23.8%

KaPa
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

24.4%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

23.7%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OLS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

KaPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OLS than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OLS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KaPa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

OLS - KaPa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Schulz N. (G) 54. Aapajarvi A. 55. Ala-Iso S. 66. Jatta K. 40. Korhonen J. 26. Korkko J. 25. Merikanto E. 51. Paananen J. 47. Raittinen E. (C) 27. Saarela E. 41. Seppanen S.	1. Piispa A. (G) 17. Anini S. 36. Cukici D. (C) 4. Hietalahti P. 2. Huhtamaki U. 31. Jouhi A. 27. Kallio E. 7. Leinonen N. 14. Lika Y. 11. Manneh F. 34. Okoye F.
Substitutes
31. Babb M. 36. Lotvonen J. 84. Makelainen J. 15. Parkkila O. 12. Pentti J. (G) 45. Saarikoski V. 32. Sonko O. 48. Suutari O. 33. Tolra A.	30. Collin T. (G) 23. Huovinen J. 5. Lindberg P. 6. Nurmi N. 10. Ripatti D. 18. Valakari T.
Coaches
Mannila M.	Lummepuro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Saarela E. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Kallio E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Merikanto E. ↓, Lotvonen J. ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Lika Y. ⚽,
61', Seppanen S. ↓, Babb M. ↑,
61', Korkko J. ↓, Suutari O. ↑,
62', Babb M. 🟨,
64', Leinonen N. ↓, Nurmi N. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Jouhi A. ⚽,
74', Jatta K. ↓, Makelainen J. ↑,
82', Anini S. ↓, Ripatti D. ↑,
87', Korhonen J. ↓, Saarikoski V. ↑,
88', Ripatti D. 🟨,
90+1', Kallio E. ↓, Huovinen J. ↑,
90+1', Huhtamaki U. ↓, Lindberg P. ↑,
90+1', Lika Y. ↓, Valakari T. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

OLS has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

KaPa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

KaPa - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.98%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OLS Oulu
Finnish Ykkonen
19.10.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - OLS	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	OLS - JJK Jyväskylä	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	OLS - KPV Kokkola	3:0 ✺
18.09.25	Tampere United - OLS	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	OLS - KuPS Akatemia	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWWW
- KaPa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
18.10.25	KaPa - Salon Palloilijat	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	JIPPO - KaPa	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Ekenäs - KaPa	4:1 ✺
19.09.25	KaPa - SJK Akatemia	3:1 ✺
12.09.25	PK-35 Vantaa - KaPa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLWT

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