The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Salon Palloilijat 14.9%
Draw 19.1%
Lahti 65.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
10.5%
19%
70.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
9.8%
17.7%
75.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salon Palloilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Lahti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salon Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salon Palloilijat that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lahti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.3%
0%
72.7%
Salon Palloilijat - Lahti Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. SalPa will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Lahti will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lahti: 46.4% – 99%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lahti will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Mikkonen A. (G) 13. Guei A. 4. John M. 9. Lehtisalo O. 25. Makela E. 8. Mehmeti A. 3. Meura J. (C) 24. Olanrewaju M. 18. Poysa S. 6. Rautiola M. 26. Tiihonen A.
31. Maukonen O. (G) 5. Casagrande P. 15. Hasa N. 95. Kante A. 77. Karkulowski T. 9. Lindholm A. 19. Martim Augusto 28. Montiel C. 6. Pami M. 3. Sans R. 21. Vainionpaa M. (C)
Substitutes
29. Agyiri T. 19. Boateng E. 14. Helle T. 7. Kaijasilta N. 1. Koski J. (G) 27. Koski M. 5. Rautiainen O. 28. Salonen J. 2. Savini S.
24. Babiker A. 7. Heikkinen D. 23. Huovila V. 25. Inkinen T. 14. Laamanen E. 20. Muzinga J. 10. Oteng E. 8. Peltola A. 1. Tiainen J. (G)
Coaches
Virtanen I.
Pereira G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Mehmeti A. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Lindholm A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Meura J. ↓, Helle T. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Lindholm A. ⚽, Karkulowski T. (A),
60', Mehmeti A. ↓, Kaijasilta N. ↑,
60', Tiihonen A. ↓, Agyiri T. ↑,
62', Pami M. 🟨,
73', Pami M. ↓, Muzinga J. ↑,
73', Lindholm A. ↓, Peltola A. ↑,
76', Lehtisalo O. ↓, Koski M. ↑,
80', Kante A. ↓, Oteng E. ↑,
80', Martim Augusto ↓, Huovila V. ↑,
83', Makela E. 🟨,
83', Hasa N. ↓, Heikkinen D. ↑,
86', 1 - 3, Karkulowski T. ⚽, Heikkinen D. (A),
86', Olanrewaju M. ↓, Salonen J. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 4, Huovila V. ⚽, Muzinga J. (A),
Preview
SalPa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Lahti has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Lahti is the clear favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SalPa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
Including home match between the teams, SalPa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Finland
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Mikkonen A. (G) 
Guei A. 
John M. 
Mehmeti A. 
Casagrande P. 
Kante A. 
Martim Augusto 
Montiel C. 
Pami M. 
Agyiri T. 
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