Match Info

Super League - Round 17

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Kabati		Darajani Gogo

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.67	8.23	Watch
	2.2	2.63	3.4
	2.19	2.8	3.48
	2.16	2.71	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.65)	3.2 ↑ (2.77)	4.61 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kabati
49%

Draw
30.1%

Darajani Gogo
20.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

32.2%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

31.5%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kabati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kabati's performance.

Darajani Gogo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darajani Gogo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kabati than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kabati that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darajani Gogo than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darajani Gogo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kabati - Darajani Gogo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Kabati has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Darajani Gogo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Darajani Gogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Kabati	36	9	8	19	29:50	-21	35
17	Darajani Gogo	36	8	8	20	22:47	-25	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kabati FC
Kenyan Super League
11.01.26	Migori Youth - Kabati	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Kabati - 3K	0:2 ✺
18.12.25	Kabati - Soy United	2:1 ✺
12.12.25	Nzoia United - Kabati	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Kabati - Kisumu All-Stars	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLWTW
- Darajani Gogo
Kenyan Super League
12.01.26	Darajani Gogo - Nzoia United	1:4 ✺
07.01.26	Darajani Gogo - Gucha Stars	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	MCF - Darajani Gogo	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Equity Bank - Darajani Gogo	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Vihiga United - Darajani Gogo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWLL

Kabati - Darajani Gogo