Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	Kafue Celtic		Kabwe Warriors

	1	X	2
	1.81	2.8	4.5
	1.81	2.89	4.71
	1.92	2.81	4.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.67)	2.83 ↑ (2.37)	4.62 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kafue Celtic
48.8%

Draw
31.8%

Kabwe Warriors
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

37.1%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

38.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kafue Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kafue Celtic's performance.

Kabwe Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kabwe Warriors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kafue Celtic than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kafue Celtic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kabwe Warriors than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kabwe Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Kafue Celtic is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kabwe Warriors is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kabwe Warriors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kafue Celtic is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kafue Celtic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kafue Celtic
Zambian Premier League
20.04.22	Green Eagles - Kafue Celtic	2:2 ✺
16.04.22	Kafue Celtic - Red Arrows	0:1 ✺
13.04.22	Kafue Celtic - Zanaco	0:1 ✺
09.04.22	Konkola Blades - Kafue Celtic	3:0 ✺
20.03.22	Kafue Celtic - Nkwazi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLLW
- Kabwe Warriors
Zambian Premier League
20.04.22	Kabwe Warriors - Red Arrows	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Zanaco - Kabwe Warriors	2:2 ✺
09.04.22	Kabwe Warriors - Nkwazi	2:0 ✺
06.04.22	Lusaka Dynamos - Kabwe Warriors	3:2 ✺
19.03.22	Kabwe Warriors - Power Dynamos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Zambian Premier League
11.12.21	Kabwe Warriors - Kafue Celtic	2:0

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