Match Info

Date: 14 June 2022, Tuesday


	Kagera Sugar		Biashara Mara United

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.2	5.25
	1.6	3.2	5.4
	1.66	3.1	4.8
	1.75	3.12	4.26
	1.73	3	5
	1.69	3.03	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.21)	3.11 ↑ (2.61)	5.1 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagera Sugar
53.5%

Draw
28.9%

Biashara Mara United
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

34.2%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

33%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagera Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kagera Sugar's performance.

Biashara Mara United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Biashara Mara United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagera Sugar than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kagera Sugar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Biashara Mara United than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Biashara Mara United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.1%	11.3%	7.5%

Kagera Sugar - Biashara Mara United Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Kagera Sugar will win (votes: 43 - 81.1%). Biashara Mara United will win (votes: 4 - 7.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 11.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kagera Sugar: 70.6% – 91.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Kagera Sugar is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Biashara Mara United has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Kagera Sugar have a series of guest games.

In this match Kagera Sugar is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kagera Sugar won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Kagera Sugar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagera Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
25.05.22	Mbeya Kwanza - Kagera Sugar	2:0 ✺
21.05.22	Kagera Sugar - Ruvu Shooting	0:0 ✺
16.05.22	Prisons - Kagera Sugar	0:1 ✺
11.05.22	Simba - Kagera Sugar	2:0 ✺
07.05.22	Geita Gold - Kagera Sugar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWLL
- Biashara Mara United
Tanzanian Premier League
30.05.22	Polisi Tanzania - Biashara Mara United	2:0 ✺
23.05.22	Biashara Mara United - Young Africans	1:1 ✺
17.05.22	Biashara Mara United - Namungo	1:2 ✺
11.05.22	Coastal Union - Biashara Mara United	1:0 ✺
05.05.22	Biashara Mara United - Dodoma Jiji	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
15.01.22	Biashara Mara United - Kagera Sugar	3:3
26.04.21	Biashara Mara United - Kagera Sugar	2:1
25.11.20	Kagera Sugar - Biashara Mara United	3:0
08.02.20	Kagera Sugar - Biashara Mara United	0:0

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