Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 25

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Sokoine Stadium (Mbeya)


	Prisons		Kagera Sugar

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.6	3
	2.5	2.65	3.1
	2.51	2.68	3.15	Watch
	2.47	2.7	3.09
	2.5	2.65	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.7)	2.66 ↑ (2.4)	3.09 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prisons
36.5%

Draw
34.1%

Kagera Sugar
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

37.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

37.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prisons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Kagera Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prisons than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagera Sugar than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Prisons - Kagera Sugar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Prisons won 1.

Prisons has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kagera Sugar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Prisons could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Prisons have a series of guest games.

Prisons will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Prisons won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:8 (average 0.4:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Prisons won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tanzania Prisons FC
Tanzanian Premier League
02.04.25	Kinondoni MC - Prisons	3:2 ✺
06.03.25	Azam - Prisons	4:0 ✺
26.02.25	Singida Fountain Gate - Prisons	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Prisons - TRA United	1:1 ✺
18.02.25	Dodoma Jiji - Prisons	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLTL
- Kagera Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
03.04.25	Kagera Sugar - Coastal Union	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Kagera Sugar - Pamba	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Kagera Sugar - Kinondoni MC	0:0 ✺
21.02.25	JKT Tanzania - Kagera Sugar	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	KenGold - Kagera Sugar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
05.12.24	Kagera Sugar - Prisons	0:0
22.04.24	Prisons - Kagera Sugar	0:0
03.11.23	Kagera Sugar - Prisons	2:1
14.05.23	Kagera Sugar - Prisons	0:1
21.11.22	Prisons - Kagera Sugar	0:1
16.05.22	Prisons - Kagera Sugar	0:1
26.12.21	Kagera Sugar - Prisons	0:1

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