Match Info

TANZANIA: Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 22

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Kaitaba Stadium (Bukoba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Kagera Sugar		Kinondoni MC

	1	X	2
	2.43	2.9	2.9
	2.43	3	2.91	Watch
	2.44	2.92	2.88
	2.43	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.4)	2.93 ↑ (2.75)	2.9 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagera Sugar
37.5%

Draw
31.1%

Kinondoni MC
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

33%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

31.7%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagera Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Kinondoni MC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagera Sugar than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kinondoni MC than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Kagera Sugar - Kinondoni MC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kagera Sugar won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Kagera Sugar won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Kagera Sugar won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 0.8:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagera Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
21.02.25	JKT Tanzania - Kagera Sugar	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	KenGold - Kagera Sugar	1:0 ✺
14.02.25	Kagera Sugar - Singida Fountain Gate	3:0 ✺
11.02.25	Kagera Sugar - TRA United	1:2 ✺
07.02.25	Singida Black Stars - Kagera Sugar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWLT
- Kinondoni MC
Tanzanian Premier League
22.02.25	KenGold - Kinondoni MC	1:1 ✺
18.02.25	Kinondoni MC - JKT Tanzania	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Kinondoni MC - Young Africans	1:6 ✺
10.02.25	Kinondoni MC - Singida Black Stars	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Azam - Kinondoni MC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
03.10.24	Kinondoni MC - Kagera Sugar	1:0
04.05.24	Kinondoni MC - Kagera Sugar	0:0
22.11.23	Kagera Sugar - Kinondoni MC	1:1
09.03.23	Kinondoni MC - Kagera Sugar	2:0
01.11.22	Kagera Sugar - Kinondoni MC	1:0
17.04.22	Kagera Sugar - Kinondoni MC	0:0
29.10.21	Kinondoni MC - Kagera Sugar	0:1

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