Match Info

TANZANIA: Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 21

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday

Location: Isamuhyo Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	JKT Tanzania		Kagera Sugar

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.9	4.3
	1.91	2.95	4.45
	1.87	2.97	4.64	Watch
	1.82	2.97	4.7
	1.9	2.9	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.7)	2.94 ↓ (3.1)	4.48 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JKT Tanzania
48.6%

Draw
31.1%

Kagera Sugar
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

29.3%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

28.2%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JKT Tanzania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Kagera Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JKT Tanzania than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JKT Tanzania, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagera Sugar than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

JKT Tanzania - Kagera Sugar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Songo E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Nangu W. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches JKT Tanzania won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

JKT Tanzania could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match JKT Tanzania is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches JKT Tanzania won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 0.8:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams JKT Tanzania won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JKT Tanzania
Tanzanian Premier League
18.02.25	Kinondoni MC - JKT Tanzania	0:2 ✺
13.02.25	JKT Tanzania - Singida Black Stars	0:1 ✺
10.02.25	JKT Tanzania - Young Africans	0:0 ✺
07.02.25	Coastal Union - JKT Tanzania	2:1 ✺
27.12.24	Azam - JKT Tanzania	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLTLL
- Kagera Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
18.02.25	KenGold - Kagera Sugar	1:0 ✺
14.02.25	Kagera Sugar - Singida Fountain Gate	3:0 ✺
11.02.25	Kagera Sugar - TRA United	1:2 ✺
07.02.25	Singida Black Stars - Kagera Sugar	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Young Africans - Kagera Sugar	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
16.09.24	Kagera Sugar - JKT Tanzania	0:0
02.03.24	Kagera Sugar - JKT Tanzania	1:1
29.09.23	JKT Tanzania - Kagera Sugar	1:1
01.01.21	JKT Tanzania - Kagera Sugar	1:0
07.09.20	Kagera Sugar - JKT Tanzania	0:1
29.09.19	Kagera Sugar - JKT Tanzania	0:1

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