Match Info

Date: 22 December 2021, Wednesday


	Kagera Sugar		Mbeya Kwanza

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.8	4
	2	2.87	3.8
	2	2.75	3.75
	2.08	2.84	3.85
	1.99	2.8	4.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.87)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)	3.91 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagera Sugar
44.9%

Draw
32%

Mbeya Kwanza
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

31.6%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

24.4%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagera Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Mbeya Kwanza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagera Sugar than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kagera Sugar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbeya Kwanza than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mbeya Kwanza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kagera Sugar - Mbeya Kwanza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Kagera Sugar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mbeya Kwanza has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mbeya Kwanza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kagera Sugar is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagera Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
12.12.21	Azam - Kagera Sugar	0:0 ✺
26.11.21	Ruvu Shooting - Kagera Sugar	2:1 ✺
20.11.21	Kagera Sugar - Geita Gold	1:2 ✺
29.10.21	Kinondoni MC - Kagera Sugar	0:1 ✺
22.10.21	Kagera Sugar - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TLLWW
- Mbeya Kwanza
Tanzanian Premier League
17.12.21	Mbeya Kwanza - Namungo	0:1 ✺
05.12.21	Coastal Union - Mbeya Kwanza	2:1 ✺
30.11.21	Mbeya Kwanza - Young Africans	0:2 ✺
19.11.21	Prisons - Mbeya Kwanza	2:1 ✺
01.11.21	Mbeya Kwanza - Polisi Tanzania	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

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