Match Info

Date: 22 November 2020, Sunday


	Kagera Sugar		Mwadui

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.65	3.6
	2.2	2.65	3.6
	2.16	2.6	3.6
	2.24	2.65	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.24)	2.64 ↓ (2.65)	3.62 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagera Sugar
41%

Draw
34.2%

Mwadui
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

34.4%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

23.4%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagera Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Mwadui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagera Sugar than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kagera Sugar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mwadui than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mwadui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kagera Sugar - Mwadui Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 15).

Kagera Sugar is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mwadui is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kagera Sugar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kagera Sugar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Kagera Sugar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagera Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
04.11.20	Simba - Kagera Sugar	2:0 ✺
01.11.20	Kagera Sugar - Mtibwa Sugar	2:1 ✺
24.10.20	Kagera Sugar - Mbeya City	1:2 ✺
20.10.20	Kagera Sugar - Dodoma Jiji	0:0 ✺
14.10.20	Namungo - Kagera Sugar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLTL
- Mwadui FC
Tanzanian Premier League
04.11.20	Mwadui - Ruvu Shooting	1:1 ✺
31.10.20	Simba - Mwadui	5:0 ✺
15.10.20	Azam - Mwadui	3:0 ✺
03.10.20	Namungo - Mwadui	0:1 ✺
27.09.20	Mwadui - Singida Black Stars	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
05.02.20	Kagera Sugar - Mwadui	2:1
06.01.19	Mwadui - Kagera Sugar	4:0
13.03.18	Kagera Sugar - Mwadui	1:0
20.10.17	Mwadui - Kagera Sugar	1:1
31.12.16	Mwadui - Kagera Sugar	2:1

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