Match Info

TANZANIA: Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 23

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Kaitaba Stadium (Bukoba)


	Kagera Sugar		Pamba

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.75	3.1
	2.26	2.85	3.25
	2.3	2.93	3.2	Watch
	2.3	2.85	3.2
	2.26	2.85	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2)	2.85 ↑ (2.7)	3.2 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kagera Sugar
39.7%

Draw
31.9%

Pamba
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

33.1%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

37.3%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagera Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Pamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pamba's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagera Sugar than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kagera Sugar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pamba than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pamba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kagera Sugar - Pamba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Momanyi M. ⚽, Kunambi K. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Shaphan S. ⚽, Datius P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 2 - 1, Lwasa P. ⚽, Nolo H. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)).

Kagera Sugar is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pamba is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kagera Sugar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kagera Sugar will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kagera Sugar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagera Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
26.02.25	Kagera Sugar - Kinondoni MC	0:0 ✺
21.02.25	JKT Tanzania - Kagera Sugar	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	KenGold - Kagera Sugar	1:0 ✺
14.02.25	Kagera Sugar - Singida Fountain Gate	3:0 ✺
11.02.25	Kagera Sugar - TRA United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLWL
- Pamba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
28.02.25	Pamba - Young Africans	0:3 ✺
23.02.25	Singida Black Stars - Pamba	2:2 ✺
19.02.25	Mashujaa - Pamba	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Pamba - Coastal Union	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Pamba - Azam	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
20.10.24	Pamba - Kagera Sugar	1:1

Upcoming Matches