Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 15

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: CCM Kirumba Stadium (Mwanza)


	Pamba		Coastal Union

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.35	5.7
	1.62	3.30	6.03	Watch
	1.57	3.25	6.37
	1.6	3.25	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.77)	3.29 ↑ (3.1)	5.94 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pamba
57.2%

Draw
27.6%

Coastal Union
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

29.2%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pamba's performance.

Coastal Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Pamba - Coastal Union Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Coastal Union (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Coastal Union (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Amosi Y. (G) 3. Abraham I. 15. Kunambi K. 19. Lwasa P. 2. Mangalo A. 30. Mayombya Z. 23. Mwashinga J. 24. Naftal K. . Oyugi Siwa S. 9. Tegisi M. 14. Yonta Camara A.	40. Mwakisiki K. (G) . Abdallah D. . Gerard G. 9. Maabad M. M. 16. Manyasi G. 10. Masumbuko A. 5. Msangi A. A. 33. Msuva J. 23. Salumu Y. M. . Wawa G. A. 25. Yahaya S.
Substitutes
12. Antwi S. . Charles E. 36. Jafari H. . Kasindi P. 54. Lutonja H. 10. Nahimana S. 17. Nakibinge J. . Richard D. . Samamba M.	26. Aidan R. 19. Bakari K. . Kiala L. 34. Mwanza S. 18. Ramadhani C. (G) 63. Said A. 42. Saleh Abdalla S. 11. Segeja A. 2. William A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', Yonta Camara A. ↓, Nakibinge J. ↑,
60', Mangalo A. 🟨,
60', Msuva J. ↓, Segeja A. ↑,
64', Naftal K. 🟨,
69', Oyugi Siwa S. ↓, Nahimana S. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Nahimana S. ⚽,
75', Lwasa P. 🟨,
76', 2 - 0, Nahimana S. ⚽, Mayombya Z. (A),
82', Naftal K. ↓, Antwi S. ↑,
82', Lwasa P. ↓, Lutonja H. ↑,
83', Maabad M. M. ↓, Kiala L. ↑,
83', Yahaya S. ↓, Bakari K. ↑,
90', 3 - 0, Tegisi M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).

Coastal Union has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Coastal Union may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pamba is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pamba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pamba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Coastal Union	6	2	1	3	6:9	-3	7
16	Pamba	6	0	1	5	4:13	-9	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pamba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
02.02.26	JKT Tanzania - Pamba	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Pamba	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Prisons - Pamba	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Pamba - Kinondoni MC	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Pamba - Singida Fountain Gate	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTWW
- Coastal Union
Tanzanian Premier League
01.02.26	Coastal Union - TRA United	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Coastal Union - Kinondoni MC	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Namungo - Coastal Union	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Azam - Coastal Union	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Coastal Union - Young Africans	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
15.02.25	Pamba - Coastal Union	2:0
28.09.24	Coastal Union - Pamba	2:0
24.07.21	Coastal Union - Pamba	3:1
21.07.21	Pamba - Coastal Union	2:2

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