Match Info

AFRICA: CAF Confederation Cup - Round 3

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Variety 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Portugal	Sport TV4
Usa	beIN Connect
World	Fanatiz


	Simba		Sfaxien

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.65	3.4	4.6
	1.72	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.74	3.3	5
	1.73	3.31	4.82	Watch
	1.73	3.2	4.8
	1.72	3.38	4.87	Watch
	1.68	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.65)	3.37 ↑ (3.28)	4.79 ↓ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

Watch this match and CAF Confederation Cup with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN La Liga

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Current Win Probability

Simba
53.7%

Draw
27.2%

Sfaxien
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

27.8%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

26.3%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sfaxien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simba than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sfaxien than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Simba - Sfaxien Predictions

Users Predictions: Simba will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Camara M. (G) 12. Kapombe S. 20. Malone Junior C. 14. Hamza A. 15. Hussein M. (C) 23. Awesu A. A. 6. Ngoma F. 17. Fernandes D. 38. Kibu D. 13. Leonel Ateba 10. Ahoua J. C.	30. Dahmen A. (C) 13. Derbali R. 3. Nasraoui M. 32. Ayouni H. 21. Baccar H. 6. Conte B. M. 25. Sekkouhi F. 14. Sa P. 18. Cristo 9. Haj H. H. 11. Habbassi A.
Substitutes
36. Chasambi L. 21. Kagoma Y. 2. Karaboue C. 28. Manula A. S. (G) 11. Mukwala S. 26. Mutale J. 29. Nouma V. 25. Okejepha A. 19. Yassin M.	38. Absi M. 20. Becha Y. 29. Ben Ali O. 1. Gaaloul M. (G) 7. Haboubi A. 27. Hmidi B. 33. Kouame K. 28. Traore G. 34. Winley F.
Coaches
Davids F.	Santos A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Haj H. H. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Kibu D. ⚽, Ahoua J. C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Leonel Ateba ↓, Mukwala S. ↑,
46', Nasraoui M. ↓, Kouame K. ↑,
56', Habbassi A. ↓, Hmidi B. ↑,
56', Haj H. H. ↓, Haboubi A. ↑,
58', Malone Junior C. 🟨,
64', Haboubi A. 🟨,
64', Malone Junior C. ↓, Karaboue C. ↑,
64', Ahoua J. C. ↓, Mutale J. ↑,
65', Fernandes D. ↓, Kagoma Y. ↑,
66', Dahmen A. 🟨,
72', Cristo ↓, Becha Y. ↑,
72', Sekkouhi F. ↓, Traore G. ↑,
78', Hussein M. ↓, Nouma V. ↑,
90+9', 2 - 1, Kibu D. ⚽, Kagoma Y. (A),
90+10', Kibu D. 🟨,

Preview

Simba is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sfaxien is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sfaxien could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Simba is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Simba to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simba SC
CAF Confederation Cup
08.12.24	Constantine - Simba	2:1 ✺
27.11.24	Simba - Bravos do Maquis	1:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
22.11.24	Pamba - Simba	0:1 ✺
06.11.24	Simba - Kinondoni MC	4:0 ✺
01.11.24	Mashujaa - Simba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW
- CS Sfaxien
CAF Confederation Cup
08.12.24	Bravos do Maquis - Sfaxien	3:2 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
01.12.24	Soliman - Sfaxien	1:4 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
27.11.24	Sfaxien - Constantine	0:1 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
23.11.24	Sfaxien - Tataouine	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Monastir - Sfaxien	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWT

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