Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 6

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Shiranami Stadium (Kagoshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kagoshima United		Reilac Shiga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.55	4.75
	1.68	3.7	4.92
	1.65	3.71	5.2	Watch
	1.6	3.6	4.6
	1.7	3.72	4.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.45)	3.66 ↓ (4.51)	4.82 ↓ (6.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagoshima United
55.8%

Draw
25.2%

Reilac Shiga
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.6%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

19.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kagoshima United's form might have worsened.

Reilac Shiga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kagoshima United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilac Shiga than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Kagoshima United - Reilac Shiga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kawakami K. (G) 44. Aoki Y. 16. Muramatsu K. 5. Yamada Y. 3. Sugii H. 2. Saga R. 19. Inaba S. 14. Yoshio K. 11. Fukuda M. 55. Nakayama K. 18. Kawamura K.	21. Kushibiki M. (G) 14. Shiraishi T. 55. Onodera K. 4. Ide K. 77. Hojo S. 32. Umiguchi G. 8. Nakamura K. 13. Koizumi R. 7. Kubota K. 15. Kikushima T. 11. Miyake K.
Substitutes
9. Arita R. 20. Endo M. 8. Fujimura K. 26. Kawashima K. 23. Kojima R. 73. Kumakura T. (G) 41. Mishina N. 10. Take S. 36. Yonezawa R.	18. Akiyama S. 29. Hino T. 10. Hitomi T. 35. Minami T. 41. Motoyoshi Y. (G) 5. Nishiyama T. 24. Romero F. 26. Tsunoda S. 47. Watanabe R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Yamada Y. ⚽, Yoshio K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kikushima T. ↓, Hitomi T. ↑,
46', Kubota K. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
65', Hojo S. ↓, Akiyama S. ↑,
70', Nakayama K. ↓, Arita R. ↑,
70', Fukuda M. ↓, Endo M. ↑,
71', Umiguchi G. ↓, Hino T. ↑,
76', Saga R. ↓, Kawashima K. ↑,
82', Kawamura K. ↓, Yonezawa R. ↑,
82', Yoshio K. ↓, Fujimura K. ↑,
85', Miyake K. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
90+3', Romero F. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Reilac Shiga has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kagoshima United is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagoshima United
Japan J2 J3 League
08.03.26	Oita Trinita - Kagoshima United	1:0 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Sagan Tosu - Kagoshima United	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Kagoshima United - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Kagoshima United - Ryūkyū	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Kagoshima United - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWL
- Reilac Shiga FC
Japan J2 J3 League
08.03.26	Reilac Shiga - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Reilac Shiga	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Oita Trinita - Reilac Shiga	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ryūkyū - Reilac Shiga	1:0 penalties ✺
15.02.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Reilac Shiga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLLL

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