Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 4

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sagan Tosu		Kagoshima United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.78	Watch
	2.46	3.44	2.72
	2.18	3.48	3.09	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.5
	2.49	3.34	2.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.98)	3.34 ↓ (3.46)	2.76 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagan Tosu
39.1%

Draw
27.6%

Kagoshima United
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

26.9%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sagan Tosu's form might have worsened.

Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kagoshima United's recent form is better than expected.

Sagan Tosu - Kagoshima United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tosu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Izumori R. (G) 20. Toyoda A. 3. Kamiyama K. 33. Ogawa S. 26. Ando T. 2. Matsumoto N. 29. Tanaka Y. 16. Nishizawa K. 88. Shiohama R. 19. Suzuki D. 7. Sakamoto K.	21. Kawakami K. (G) 44. Aoki Y. 4. Hirose K. 5. Yamada Y. 3. Sugii H. 2. Saga R. 19. Inaba S. 14. Yoshio K. 11. Fukuda M. 55. Nakayama K. 18. Kawamura K.
Substitutes
18. Hyon R. 4. Imazu Y. 9. Jo 23. Kitajima F. 12. Matsubara S. (G) 5. Nagasawa S. 6. Sakurai T. 77. Slivka V. 22. Yuba K.	9. Arita R. 20. Endo M. 26. Kawashima K. 73. Kumakura T. (G) 16. Muramatsu K. 10. Take S. 36. Yonezawa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Aoki Y. ↓, Muramatsu K. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Yoshio K. ⚽, Kawamura K. (A),
60', Kamiyama K. 🟨,
61', Tanaka Y. ↓, Slivka V. ↑,
61', Suzuki D. ↓, Jo ↑,
61', Kamiyama K. ↓, Imazu Y. ↑,
75', Matsumoto N. ↓, Sakurai T. ↑,
75', Nishizawa K. ↓, Yuba K. ↑,
77', Kawamura K. ↓, Arita R. ↑,
77', Yoshio K. ↓, Kawashima K. ↑,
85', Fukuda M. ↓, Endo M. ↑,
89', Nakayama K. ↓, Yonezawa R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Tosu might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 J3 League
21.02.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Sagan Tosu	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1 penalties ✺
08.02.26	Ryūkyū - Sagan Tosu	2:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.11.25	Sagan Tosu - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Fujieda MYFC - Sagan Tosu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTLT
- Kagoshima United
Japan J2 J3 League
22.02.26	Kagoshima United - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Kagoshima United - Ryūkyū	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Kagoshima United - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:3 ✺
Japan J3 League
07.12.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kagoshima United	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Kagoshima United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLL

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