Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 20

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Fred Wright Oval (Newcastle)


	Kahibah		Belmont Swansea United

	1	X	2
	3.40	4.50	1.67	Watch
	3.45	4.00	1.71
	3.51	4.50	1.73
	3.40	4.59	1.78	Watch
	3.45	4.45	1.69
	3.55	4.70	1.74	Watch
	3.50	4.40	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.1)	4.45 ↑ (3.65)	1.72 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kahibah
26.3%

Draw
20.5%

Belmont Swansea United
53.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.7%

24.4%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

23.2%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kahibah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Belmont Swansea United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belmont Swansea United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kahibah than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belmont Swansea United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Kahibah - Belmont Swansea United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Kahibah has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Belmont Swansea is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kahibah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Belmont Swansea has had a series of away games.

Belmont Swansea is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kahibah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kahibah FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
18.07.26	Weston Bears - Kahibah	5:2 ✺
11.07.26	Valentine Phoenix - Kahibah	3:2 ✺
03.07.26	Edgeworth Eagles - Kahibah	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Kahibah - Adamstown Rosebud	1:2 ✺
21.06.26	Kahibah - Charlestown Azzurri	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLW
- Belmont Swansea United
Australian NPL Northern NSW
22.07.26	Newcastle Olympic - Belmont Swansea United	5:2 ✺
27.06.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Belmont Swansea United	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Belmont Swansea United - Broadmeadow Magic	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Weston Bears - Belmont Swansea United	2:2 ✺
05.06.26	Cooks Hill United - Belmont Swansea United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
26.04.26	Belmont Swansea United - Kahibah	5:3

Kahibah - Belmont Swansea United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide