Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 11

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Arab Contractors Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	El Mokawloon El Arab		Wadi Degla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.3
	2.18	2.82	3.55	Watch
	2.26	2.94	3.94
	2.22	2.71	3.99	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.5
	2.14	2.74	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.44)	2.8 ↑ (2.64)	3.67 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Mokawloon El Arab
42%

Draw
32.9%

Wadi Degla
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

35.2%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

35.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Mokawloon El Arab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Wadi Degla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

El Mokawloon El Arab - Wadi Degla Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Wadi Degla will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aboul Saoud M. (C) 26. Kahraba 21. Abdellah I. 3. Hamed M. 23. Ochaya J. 31. Adel M. 12. El Wahsh O. 25. Ojera J. 10. Naguib S. 20. Gaber I. 44. Hawash A.	1. Hossam A. (G) 2. Maher S. 19. Mohamed H. 3. Adly O. 28. Teka S. 21. Reda A. 25. El Bahnasi I. 11. Abdelrahim M. 9. Boli F. 14. Abdelaati M. (C) 10. Diasty M.
Substitutes
74. Abdelnasser M. 22. Antar M. 18. Fawzi M. (G) 14. Gamal M. 13. Hozian M. 4. Hussein H. 28. Ouled Behi A. 9. Salim M. 17. Sobhi M.	6. Aboul-Fetouh K. 12. Dahesh A. 44. El Shimi A. 32. Farouk A. 34. Kaandorp M. 20. Oya Y. 8. Scholes A. 18. Shaaban A. (G) 22. Zizo
Coaches
Elsoudany S.	El Sheikh M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, El Bahnasi I. ⚽,
42', Diasty M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Faisal H. ↓, Salim M. ↑,
46', Abdelrahim M. ↓, Dahesh A. ↑,
46', Reda A. ↓, Oya Y. ↑,
59', Naguib S. ↓, Abdelnasser M. ↑,
59', Ochaya J. ↓, Ouled Behi A. ↑,
65', Kahraba ↓, Hussein H. ↑,
66', Oya Y. 🟨,
67', Abdelaati M. 🟨,
67', Abdelaati M. ↓, Kaandorp M. ↑,
67', Diasty M. ↓, Zizo ↑,
78', Adel M. 🟨,
78', Teka S. 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, Salim M. ⚽, Gaber I. (A),
86', El Bahnasi I. ↓, Aboul-Fetouh K. ↑,
86', Dahesh A. 🟨,
87', Hawash A. ↓, Antar M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 3.

El Mokawloon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wadi Degla is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

El Mokawloon could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 0.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, El Mokawloon won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Arab Contractors	5	2	1	2	6:5	1	7
14	Wadi Degla	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

El Mokawloon El Arab - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.06%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian Premier League
13.05.26	Haras El-Hodood - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0 ✺
08.05.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - El Gouna	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Pharco - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:1 ✺
28.04.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1 ✺
23.04.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWTTT
- Wadi Degla
Egyptian Premier League
12.05.26	Wadi Degla - Ismaily	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Petrojet - Wadi Degla	2:2 ✺
04.05.26	Wadi Degla - Kahrabaa Ismailia	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Wadi Degla - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	4:1 ✺
25.04.26	Haras El-Hodood - Wadi Degla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
05.02.26	Wadi Degla - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:1
Egyptian Division 2 A
25.04.25	Wadi Degla - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:1
15.12.24	El Mokawloon El Arab - Wadi Degla	0:0
Egyptian Premier League
22.04.21	El Mokawloon El Arab - Wadi Degla	1:0
16.12.20	Wadi Degla - El Mokawloon El Arab	2:1
07.09.20	Wadi Degla - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:1
16.12.19	El Mokawloon El Arab - Wadi Degla	0:1

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