Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 10

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Khaled Bichara Stadium (El Gouna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	El Gouna		Kahrabaa Ismailia

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.88	2.72	Watch
	2.81	2.97	2.93
	2.88	2.66	2.89	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.75
	2.65	2.78	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.02)	2.81 ↓ (2.97)	2.79 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Gouna
33.7%

Draw
33.1%

Kahrabaa Ismailia
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

31.3%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

30.4%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Gouna's form might have worsened.

Kahrabaa Ismailia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kahrabaa Ismailia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Gouna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kahrabaa Ismailia than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kahrabaa Ismailia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	54.5%	18.2%

El Gouna - Kahrabaa Ismailia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. El Gouna will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Kahrabaa Ismailia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alaa M. (G) 3. Khaled A. 4. Abdel Rasoul Ahmed 36. Turay A. 2. Taalab A. 8. Salah R. 14. El Sayed N. (C) 6. Ibrahim H. 22. El Nahas M. 24. El Zahdi A. 39. Khaled A.	31. El Gabry A. (G) 22. Sheta A. 2. Yehia K. 5. Elkhashab S. 30. El Shazly H. 20. Al Agouz S. 66. Medhat M. 25. Said M. 77. Boateng B. 14. Farouk M. 10. Maradona A. (C)
Substitutes
20. Belia A. 25. El Said A. 17. Gamal A. 10. Mahmoud M. 1. Masoud A. (G) 28. Metawea M. 11. Mohamed S. E. D. A. 9. Mohsen M. 37. Wael H.	33. Abdelmoniem M. 3. El Fayoumi E. 16. Hagras M. (G) 8. Hamza A. 44. Ibrahim A. 88. Namgbema L. 7. Rahim M. A. 29. Shika M. E. S. 27. Wael El Fishawy O.
Coaches
Bebo A.	El Sayed R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', El Zahdi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Alaa M. 🟨,
52', Elkhashab S. 🟨,
58', Boateng B. ↓, Shika M. E. S. ↑,
59', Medhat M. ↓, Namgbema L. ↑,
59', Khaled A. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
59', Al Agouz S. ↓, Hamza A. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, El Shazly H. ⚽, Farouk M. (A),
69', El Zahdi A. ↓, Mohamed S. E. D. A. ↑,
69', Ibrahim H. ↓, Mohsen M. ↑,
71', Maradona A. ↓, Rahim M. A. ↑,
80', Sheta A. ↓, El Fayoumi E. ↑,
90+1', Taalab A. ↓, Mahmoud M. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

El Gouna will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, El Gouna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	El Gouna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League
08.05.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - El Gouna	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	ZED - El Gouna	2:2 ✺
29.04.26	El Gouna - Haras El-Hodood	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Pharco - El Gouna	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	El Gouna - Ismaily	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTTWW
- Kahrabaa Ismailia
Egyptian Premier League
08.05.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Pharco	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Wadi Degla - Kahrabaa Ismailia	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - National Bank of Egypt	1:3 ✺
24.04.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Kahrabaa Ismailia	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
10.08.25	Kahrabaa Ismailia - El Gouna	0:1

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