Match Info

Date: 5 September 2020, Saturday


	Kajaani		MuSa

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3
	2.3	3.4	2.6
	2.35	3.55	2.65
	2.24	3.5	2.8
	2.37	3.58	2.96
	2.25	3.5	2.88
	2.34	3.7	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.37)	3.53 ↓ (3.56)	2.8 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kajaani
40.4%

Draw
26.3%

MuSa
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

18%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kajaani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

MuSa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kajaani than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kajaani that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MuSa than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MuSa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kajaani - MuSa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Ykkonen (Championship Group)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently MuSa have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kajaani won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Kajaani won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Kajaani
Finnish Ykkonen
30.08.20	SJK Akatemia - Kajaani	1:4 ✺
22.08.20	Kajaani - KTP Kotka	2:3 ✺
16.08.20	Kajaani - KPV Kokkola	0:1 ✺
09.08.20	VPS Vaasa - Kajaani	1:1 ✺
05.08.20	Kajaani - Oulu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLTT
- Musan Salama
Finnish Ykkonen
29.08.20	MuSa - KPV Kokkola	3:2 ✺
23.08.20	FF Jaro - MuSa	5:2 ✺
15.08.20	MuSa - Oulu	1:3 ✺
10.08.20	MuSa - MYPA	4:1 ✺
06.08.20	MuSa - Ekenäs	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
04.07.20	MuSa - Kajaani	0:2
16.08.19	MuSa - Kajaani	5:3
19.06.19	Kajaani - MuSa	1:3
27.04.19	Kajaani - MuSa	1:2
Finnish Cup
10.03.18	Kajaani - MuSa	2:0
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
17.09.16	MuSa - Kajaani	0:0

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