The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kalmar 39.4%
Draw 28.1%
GAIS 32.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.1%
27.8%
43.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
27.2%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kalmar's performance.
GAIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GAIS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kalmar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GAIS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
30%
30%
Kalmar - GAIS Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Kalmar will win (votes: 4 - 40%). GAIS will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kalmar: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 13th and 11th).
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for GAIS: Holmen K.
(Knee Injury)
Thorkelsson R.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Kalmar: Magashy A.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for GAIS: Asumang B.
(Illness)
Collander D.
(Inactive)
Hedlund L.
(Inactive).
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Kalmar has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:10 (averaging 1.4:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kalmar against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 2:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
GAIS
25
8
7
10
31:26
5
31
13
Kalmar
25
6
4
15
23:41
-18
22
Last Results with these Odds
GAIS - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.11%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Norway
Sweden
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