Match Info

Date: 12 April 2021, Monday


	Kalmar		IFK Östersunds

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.2
	2.23	3.25	3.35	Watch
	2.22	3.1	3.25
	2.28	3.33	3.46
	2.25	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3.34	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.32)	3.27 ↓ (3.33)	3.26 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalmar
42.1%

Draw
28.9%

IFK Östersunds
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

28.4%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

19.8%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

IFK Östersunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kalmar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that IFK Östersunds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.4%	15.2%	45.5%

Kalmar - IFK Östersunds Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Kalmar will win (votes: 13 - 39.4%). IFK Östersunds will win (votes: 15 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for IFK Östersunds: 28.5% – 62.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Kalmar has a chance of relegated (50%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Östersund has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Kalmar will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Kalmar won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Kalmar won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalmar FF
Club Friendly
27.03.21	Halmstad - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
20.03.21	Kalmar - Mjällby	0:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
06.03.21	Djurgården - Kalmar	4:1 ✺
28.02.21	Kalmar - Brage	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Kalmar - Umeå	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWL
- IFK Östersunds
Club Friendly
28.03.21	IFK Östersunds - Sundsvall	1:2 ✺
20.03.21	Djurgården - IFK Östersunds	3:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
14.03.21	Djurgården - IFK Östersunds	3:0 ✺
07.03.21	Mjällby - IFK Östersunds	0:1 ✺
03.03.21	IFK Östersunds - Akropolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
17.08.20	IFK Östersunds - Kalmar	2:0
01.07.20	Kalmar - IFK Östersunds	1:2
14.09.19	IFK Östersunds - Kalmar	1:2
05.05.19	Kalmar - IFK Östersunds	1:1
12.08.18	IFK Östersunds - Kalmar	2:0
18.04.18	Kalmar - IFK Östersunds	1:1
Svenska Cupen
03.03.18	IFK Östersunds - Kalmar	3:0

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