Match Info

Superettan - Round 9

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Guldfågeln Arena (Kalmar)

Referee: Sjoberg K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 4, Max, TV4 Play


	Kalmar		Umeå

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.25	11	Watch
	1.21	6	11.5
	1.2	6.03	15.19	Watch
	1.21	6.3	14.33
	1.24	5.46	13.78
	1.2	5.8	12
	1.2	6.64	11.7	Watch
	1.2	6.03	15.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.24)	6.06 ↑ (5.6)	13.09 ↑ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalmar
77.5%

Draw
15.4%

Umeå
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.3%

16.5%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	5%	5%

Kalmar - Umeå Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Kalmar (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kalmar will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kalmar will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalmar (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brolin S. (G) 26. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 39. Saetra L. 47. Keita A. 3. Overby S. 10. Jebara C. 20. Sosseh G. 5. Hallberg M. (C) 28. Sabriye A. 11. Olusanya A. 19. Ylatupa S.	31. Uppenberg M. (G) 17. Martiatu Nordeman A. 15. Westin T. 26. Ekman D. 28. Persson D. 12. Yeboah E. 6. Lindmark S. (C) 7. Vikgren L. 10. Bjorgolfsson E. 9. Haga M. H. 32. Voilas J.
Substitutes
16. Andersson W. 4. Jansson R. 30. Kindberg J. (G) 21. Magashy A. 23. R. Gojani 33. Rosenqvist C. 9. Stolt M.	16. Bangala D. 11. Dejene M. 1. Eriksson P. (G) 5. Hedenquist J. 8. Hedstrom J. 24. Marklund L. 19. Olsson T.
Coaches
Koskela T.	Baath-Sjoblom A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Keita A. ⚽, Hallberg M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ylatupa S. ↓, Magashy A. ↑,
54', Saetra L. 🟨,
63', 2 - 0, Keita A. ⚽, Hallberg M. (A),
65', Voilas J. ↓, Marklund L. ↑,
68', Hallberg M. ↓, R. Gojani ↑,
68', Jebara C. ↓, Jansson R. ↑,
74', Yeboah E. ↓, Hedstrom J. ↑,
74', Bjorgolfsson E. ↓, Dejene M. ↑,
86', Sabriye A. ↓, Rosenqvist C. ↑,
87', Martiatu Nordeman A. ↓, Bangala D. ↑,
90+2', Sosseh G. ↓, Andersson W. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Kalmar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Umeå is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kalmar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kalmar is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kalmar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Kalmar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalmar FF
Swedish Superettan
16.05.25	Falkenberg - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Kalmar - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Västerås SK - Kalmar	2:2 ✺
27.04.25	Helsingborg - Kalmar	1:5 ✺
20.04.25	Kalmar - Östersund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTWW
- Umeå FC
Swedish Superettan
17.05.25	Umeå - Utsikten	1:3 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
10.05.25	Umeå - Kubikensborgs	1:2 ✺
Swedish Superettan
10.05.25	Sandviken - Umeå	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Umeå - Landskrona	0:2 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
02.05.25	Friska Viljor - Umeå	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
21.02.21	Kalmar - Umeå	1:2

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