Match Info

Superettan - Round 15

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Guldfågeln Arena (Kalmar)

Referee: Nehdi F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 6, TV4 Play


	Kalmar		Brage

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	7.5
	1.37	4.6	7
	1.36	4.95	7.5	Watch
	1.37	4.92	8.41
	1.36	4.4	7.5
	1.36	4.9	8.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.38)	4.75 ↑ (4.7)	7.69 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalmar
68.3%

Draw
19.6%

Brage
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

19.7%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

18.9%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Brage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brage than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Kalmar - Brage Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalmar (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kalmar will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brolin S. (G) 26. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 4. Jansson R. 6. Sjostedt R. 47. Keita A. 10. Jebara C. 23. R. Gojani 5. Hallberg M. (C) 3. Overby S. 11. Olusanya A. 20. Sosseh G.	1. Frodig V. (G) 21. Ostberg N. 3. Walemark T. 5. Konjuhi L. 4. Persson M. 11. Lundin A. 8. Stensson J. (C) 10. Berggren G. 20. Nordh G. 33. Muhsin A. 6. Larsen M.
Substitutes
7. Atanga I. 14. Djoro A. 30. Kindberg J. (G) 33. Rosenqvist C. 28. Sabriye A. 39. Saetra L. 9. Stolt M.	23. Astrand John N. 19. Brkic H. 13. Engdahl A. (G) 17. Jonsson P. 15. Stark O. 7. Tot Wikstrom E. 22. Weilid C.
Coaches
Koskela T.	Mian J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Konjuhi L. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', R. Gojani 🟨,
53', 2 - 0, Jebara C. ⚽, Motaraghebjafarpour A. (A),
55', 2 - 1, Muhsin A. ⚽, Ostberg N. (A),
63', Lundin A. ↓, Tot Wikstrom E. ↑,
63', Larsen M. ↓, Brkic H. ↑,
73', Berggren G. 🟨,
78', Sosseh G. ↓, Stolt M. ↑,
83', Jebara C. ↓, Atanga I. ↑,
83', Berggren G. ↓, Jonsson P. ↑,
83', Persson M. ↓, Astrand John N. ↑,
84', Konjuhi L. 🟨,
90+1', Astrand John N. 🟨,
90+3', Atanga I. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Muhsin A. (Pen),
90+7', Olusanya A. ↓, Saetra L. ↑,
90+7', Hallberg M. ↓, Djoro A. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 13 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Kalmar is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalmar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalmar FF
Swedish Superettan
29.06.25	Örebro - Kalmar	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	Kalmar - Örgryte	2:3 ✺
14.06.25	Kalmar - Landskrona	3:2 ✺
31.05.25	Utsikten - Kalmar	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Varbergs BoIS - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLWTT
- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
27.06.25	Brage - Sandviken	1:2 ✺
22.06.25	Västerås SK - Brage	2:2 ✺
15.06.25	Brage - Örgryte	3:2 ✺
30.05.25	Örebro - Brage	3:3 ✺
26.05.25	Brage - Utsikten	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
28.02.21	Kalmar - Brage	1:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.11.19	Kalmar - Brage	2:2
06.11.19	Brage - Kalmar	0:2
Svenska Cupen
10.03.13	Kalmar - Brage	3:0

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