Match Info

SWEDEN: Allsvenskan - Round 9

Date: 16 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Guldfågeln Arena (Kalmar)

Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	Kalmar		Norrköping

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.9
	2.35	3.6	3	Watch
	2.35	3.58	3.04
	2.35	3.58	3.04
	2.2	3.5	2.8
	2.32	3.44	3.03	Watch
	2.23	3.4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.15)	3.5 ↓ (3.52)	2.98 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalmar
41.2%

Draw
27%

Norrköping
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.9%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Norrköping has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	7.7%	30.8%

Kalmar - Norrköping Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kalmar will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Norrköping will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kalmar: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kindberg J. (G) 5. Hallberg M. 39. Saetra L. 6. Sjostedt R. 26. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 10. Skrabb S. (C) 23. R. Gojani 11. Ring J. 20. Trenskow J. 9. Islamovic D. 7. Jensen K.	1. Jansson O. (G) 24. Eriksson A. 19. Watson M. 25. Jansson K. 16. Salihovic D. 20. Eid D. 11. Lushaku I. 21. Ceesay J. 9. Traustason A. 5. Nyman C. (C) 22. Prica T.
Substitutes
16. Andersson W. 1. Brolin S. (G) 3. Gersbach A. 14. Isa L. 25. Jansson R. 21. Magashy A. 29. Romario	40. Andersson D. (G) 3. Baggesen M. 15. Bjork C. 38. Sandberg T. 34. Sernelius N. 17. Shabani L. 8. Sigurgeirsson I. 4. Sogaard A. 6. Ssewankambo I.
Coaches
Jensen H.	Alm A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Saetra L. 🟨,
43', Watson M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Prica T. ⚽, Jansson K. (A),
52', 1 - 1, Islamovic D. ⚽, Ring J. (A),
73', Ceesay J. ↓, Ssewankambo I. ↑,
75', Trenskow J. ↓, Romario ↑,
77', Jansson K. 🟨,
78', Hallberg M. ↓, Magashy A. ↑,
86', Prica T. ↓, Bjork C. ↑,
88', Islamovic D. ↓, Gersbach A. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kalmar won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Kalmar: Karlsson J. (Injury)

There will not play in Norrköping: Khazeni K. (Injury) Ortmark J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kalmar: Gustafsson C. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Kalmar won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 20-36.

Including matches at home between the teams Kalmar won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalmar FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
12.05.24	Häcken - Kalmar	3:1 ✺
04.05.24	Kalmar - Halmstad	5:2 ✺
29.04.24	Mjällby - Kalmar	3:2 ✺
25.04.24	Kalmar - GAIS	2:3 ✺
22.04.24	Elfsborg - Kalmar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLLW
- IFK Norrköping
Swedish Allsvenskan
12.05.24	Norrköping - Hammarby	1:2 ✺
05.05.24	AIK - Norrköping	6:2 ✺
28.04.24	Häcken - Norrköping	1:2 ✺
25.04.24	Norrköping - Elfsborg	4:2 ✺
20.04.24	IFK Göteborg - Norrköping	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
30.09.23	Norrköping - Kalmar	1:0
28.05.23	Kalmar - Norrköping	2:1
17.09.22	Norrköping - Kalmar	2:2
26.04.22	Kalmar - Norrköping	1:2
07.11.21	Kalmar - Norrköping	1:0
09.08.21	Norrköping - Kalmar	1:2
14.09.20	Kalmar - Norrköping	0:2

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