Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 10

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2


	GAIS		Kalmar

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.4
	2.16	3.56	3.48
	2.17	3.5	3.53
	2.1	3.25	3.3
	2.09	3.42	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.86)	3.44 ↓ (3.45)	3.42 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GAIS
44.9%

Draw
27.5%

Kalmar
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

27.1%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

25.8%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GAIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GAIS's form might have worsened.

Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GAIS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kalmar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

GAIS - Kalmar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. GAIS (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (1.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: GAIS will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krasniqi M. (G) 12. Frej R. 22. Cardaklija A. 4. Agren O. (C) 2. de Brienne M. 8. Milovanovic W. 10. Sletsjoe H. 17. Thorkelsson R. 16. Andersson M. 20. Salter S. 11. Niklasson R.	1. Brolin S. (G) 4. Jansson R. 39. Saetra L. 5. Hallberg M. (C) 2. Larsson V. 23. R. Gojani 17. Gustafsson C. 24. Sagoe Jr C. 7. Chourak N. 13. Rosenqvist C. 10. Soderback M.
Substitutes
24. Beckman F. 29. Bengtsson D. 21. Ekong S. 28. Hedlund L. 25. Lindberg J. 32. Pettersson O. 13. Sims K. (G) 6. Wangberg A. 14. Zovko A.	70. Emeka Nnamani 14. Imeri E. 30. Kindberg J. (G) 18. Lawal S. 21. Magashy A. 11. Olusanya A. 3. Overby S. 12. Ravik Z. 6. Tyren V.
Coaches
Holmberg F.	Koskela T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Salter S. ⚽, Milovanovic W. (A),
13', Salter S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Soderback M. ↓, Tyren V. ↑,
58', Chourak N. ↓, Olusanya A. ↑,
62', Andersson M. ↓, Pettersson O. ↑,
69', Frej R. ↓, Wangberg A. ↑,
71', Larsson V. ↓, Overby S. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Hallberg M. (Own goal),
83', Salter S. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
83', Thorkelsson R. ↓, Ekong S. ↑,
83', Sletsjoe H. ↓, Beckman F. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Cardaklija A. ⚽, Lindberg J. (A),
85', Saetra L. ↓, Magashy A. ↑,
85', R. Gojani ↓, Ravik Z. ↑,
86', Tyren V. 🟨,
90+5', Milovanovic W. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 11).

GAIS is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kalmar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kalmar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, GAIS is considered a favorite.

There will not play in GAIS: Fagerjord J. (Yellow Cards) Hermansen A. (Knee Injury) Holmen K. (Knee Injury) Lundgren G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Wendin Thomasson R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Kalmar: Keita A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Kalmar: Stolt M. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, GAIS won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, GAIS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	GAIS	22	8	6	8	28:20	8	30
13	Kalmar	22	5	4	13	21:36	-15	19

Last Results with these Odds

GAIS - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.18%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GAIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.05.26	Sirius - GAIS	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	GAIS - Hammarby	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	GAIS - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Västerås SK - GAIS	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	GAIS - Örgryte	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWTWW
- Kalmar FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
23.05.26	Kalmar - Degerfors	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Brommapojkarna - Kalmar	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Kalmar - Halmstad	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Sirius - Kalmar	3:2 ✺
27.04.26	Kalmar - Elfsborg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
31.08.24	GAIS - Kalmar	1:1
25.04.24	Kalmar - GAIS	2:3
02.09.12	GAIS - Kalmar	1:2
04.05.12	Kalmar - GAIS	2:2

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