Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Spring Season - Round 11

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Orbita stadium (Kaluga)


	Kaluga		Dynamo 2 Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.04	2.94	3.72
	2.13	3.27	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.13)	3.11 ↓ (3.27)	3.31 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaluga
43.4%

Draw
29.2%

Dynamo 2 Moscow
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

27.3%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

25.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Dynamo 2 Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo 2 Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Kaluga - Dynamo 2 Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ismagilov A. (G) 9. Agureev D. 57. Asaidulin R. F. 86. Ershov K. 22. Gutsa A. 6. Kalistratov T. 77. Maksimchuk A. 10. Muminov I. 23. Petrovskiy Y. 5. Strelnik M. 37. Ushakov E.	40. Rasulov K. (G) 30. Aleksandrov D. 79. Balakhonov M. 69. Bokov D. 61. Khubulov A. 37. Letechin V. 89. Miroshnichenko G. 41. Nazarenko E. 52. Smelov E. 68. Tikhomirov G. 56. Zaydenzal L. (C)
Substitutes
35. Dorovskikh V. (G) 69. Grishin I. 38. Khleborodov I. 19. Kuzin N. Y. 11. Lapaev O. 12. Lipaev E. 88. Supagin N. 8. Yugaldin D. 7. Zaretskiy D.	90. Abdulkhalikov A. 39. Efimov A. 86. Golovachev R. 58. Ibragimov E. 33. Knyazev G. 83. Korchagin T. 98. Laskin S. 75. Mayorov M. 51. Plotnikov E. (G) 81. Shchepetkin N. 42. Simonov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Tikhomirov G. ⚽,
56', 0 - 2, Khubulov A. ⚽,
60', Bokov D. ↓, Simonov D. ↑,
64', Maksimchuk A. ↓, Khleborodov I. ↑,
64', Gutsa A. ↓, D. Jugaldin ↑,
68', Asaidulin R. F. ↓, Kuzin N. Y. ↑,
68', Strelnik M. ↓, Zaretskiy D. ↑,
75', Smelov E. ↓, Korchagin T. ↑,
75', Miroshnichenko G. ↓, Knyazev G. ↑,
87', Khubulov A. ↓, Golovachev R. ↑,
90', Yugaldin D. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Agureev D. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 8).

Kaluga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dynamo 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kaluga will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kaluga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
26.04.25	Dynamo Kirov - Kaluga	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Kaluga - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Kaluga - Dynamo Vladivostok	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Forte Taganrog - Kaluga	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Kaluga - Avangard Kursk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 TWTWT
- FC Dynamo 2 Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
26.04.25	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Avangard Kursk - Dynamo 2 Moscow	0:0 ✺
16.04.25	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Murom	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Dynamo Kirov - Dynamo 2 Moscow	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
15.03.25	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Kaluga	1:0

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