Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 13

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Orbita stadium (Kaluga)


	Kaluga		Kuban Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.28	4.22
	1.78	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 (1.79)	3.27 ↓ (3.4)	4.01 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaluga
50.1%

Draw
27.5%

Kuban Krasnodar
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

26.8%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.9%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The chances for Kuban Krasnodar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuban Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Kaluga - Kuban Krasnodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Dorovskikh V. (G) 23. Boldyrev B. 33. Daliev D. 5. Konovalov V. 47. Kravtsov Z. 19. Kuzin N. Y. 4. Polev A. 32. Sokolov I. 88. Supagin N. 37. Ushakov E. (C) 8. Yugaldin D.	1. Nesterenko Y. (G) 13. Ageev M. 87. Bezdenezhnykh I. 51. Emeljanov E. 11. Kovalevskiy E. 91. Kulikov A. 28. Molteninov I. 10. Moseychuk I. 27. Ofitserov M. 19. Osipov E. (C) 17. Smirnov D.
Substitutes
22. Detenyshev I. 86. Ershov K. 68. Grigoriev A. (G) 16. Gritsun P. (G) 6. Kuzmin A. 12. Lipaev E. 17. Matyushenko I. 95. Proskura A. 7. Zaretskiy D.	6. Fust L. 78. Melnikov D. 77. Orlov A. 9. Reykhmen B. 96. Smirnov A. 24. Ternovskiy D. (G) 37. Vedeneev M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Yugaldin D. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Daliev D. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Ageev M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sokolov I. ↓, Matyushenko I. ↑,
54', Emeljanov E. 🟨,
66', Moseychuk I. 🟨,
69', Kuzin N. Y. 🟨,
72', Bezdenezhnykh I. ↓, Reykhmen B. ↑,
72', Moseychuk I. ↓, Smirnov A. ↑,
73', Smirnov D. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
79', Kuzin N. Y. ↓, Lipaev E. ↑,
80', Kravtsov Z. ↓, Detenyshev I. ↑,
81', Kovalevskiy E. ↓, Melnikov D. ↑,
83', Polev A. 🟨,
85', 3 - 1, Matyushenko I. ⚽,
88', Ofitserov M. ↓, Vedeneev M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Kuban has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kaluga is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kaluga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Kaluga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
03.10.25	Dynamo Vladivostok - Kaluga	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Kaluga	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Kaluga - Torpedo Miass	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Avangard Kursk - Kaluga	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Kaluga - Murom	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTWW
- Kuban Krasnodar
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
04.10.25	Kuban Krasnodar - Torpedo Miass	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Avangard Kursk - Kuban Krasnodar	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Kuban Krasnodar - Murom	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Kuban Krasnodar - Irtysh Omsk	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Kuban Krasnodar - Rodina Moscow 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
30.08.25	Kuban Krasnodar - Kaluga	2:0
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
13.10.24	Kuban Krasnodar - Kaluga	2:0
17.08.24	Kaluga - Kuban Krasnodar	1:1

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