Location: Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina (Moscow)
Rodina Moscow 2
Kaluga
1
X
2
1.40
4.59
6.78
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.4 ↓ (1.43)
4.59 ↓ (4.69)
6.78 ↓ (7.3)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rodina Moscow 2 66.2%
Draw 20.2%
Kaluga 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.6%
20.3%
13.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.5%
19.2%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodina Moscow 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 2 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Rodina Moscow 2 - Kaluga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Stenyakin A. (G) 44. Baranov P. 2. Gorbachev I. 69. Khezhev A. 98. Khorin A. A. 24. Maltsev M. 89. Maltsev R. (C) 74. Mushkarin D. 70. Samko V. 79. Svintsov D. 19. Tikhonov D.
1. Eshchenko S. (G) 14. Chibisov S. 10. Grishchenko I. 18. Ivanushkin L. 2. Krotov S. (C) 66. Makarenko Y. 27. Muminov I. 59. Sherstobitov D. 37. Shevchenko D. 32. Sokolov I. 17. Sychev Y.
Substitutes
22. Beskibalniy A. 30. Danilin M. 92. Knyazev G. 81. Manukyan V. 78. Omarov M. 35. Tarasov R. (G)
70. Bakharev G. 77. Balashov K. 11. Balkizov A. 5. Konovalov V. 19. Kuzin N. Y. 91. Lukinykh E. 31. Pervakov N. 88. Tashaev R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Ivanushkin L. 🟨,
24', Khezhev A. 🟨,
38', Chibisov S. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Samko V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ivanushkin L. ↓, Konovalov V. ↑,
46', Grishchenko I. ↓, Kuzin N. Y. ↑,
54', Khezhev A. ↓, Beskibalniy A. ↑,
57', Khorin A. A. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Maltsev M. ⚽,
64', Tikhonov D. ↓, Danilin M. ↑,
64', Khorin A. A. ↓, Manukyan V. ↑,
64', Samko V. ↓, Omarov M. ↑,
68', Sychev Y. ↓, Bakharev G. ↑,
68', Sherstobitov D. ↓, Balkizov A. ↑,
72', Svintsov D. ↓, Knyazev G. ↑,
77', Makarenko Y. ↓, Balashov K. ↑,
88', 3 - 0, Knyazev G. ⚽,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season: ) and 10th in the Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodina 2 won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
In this match, Rodina 2 enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Rodina 2 has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 0.9:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rodina 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
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Stenyakin A. (G) 
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