The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kaluga 28.8%
Draw 30.2%
Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk 41%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.6%
29.7%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
29.1%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Kaluga - Mashuk KMV Pyatigorsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Eshchenko S. (G) 70. Bakharev G. 33. Daliev D. (C) 5. Konovalov V. 2. Krotov S. 19. Kuzin N. Y. 66. Makarenko Y. 27. Muminov I. 59. Sherstobitov D. 37. Shevchenko D. 17. Sychev Y.
51. Plotnikov E. (G) 23. Abazov A. 9. Budunov G. 10. Gystarov R. 3. Khagur R. 4. Machilov R. (C) 95. Magomadov C. 88. Magomedov Z. 8. Saygushev E. 11. Selemenev I. 7. Torosyan S.
Substitutes
77. Balashov K. 11. Balkizov A. 18. Ivanushkin L. 8. Klishchenko D. 12. Lipaev E. 91. Lukinykh E. 78. Mukhin E. 94. Nadolsky A. 31. Pervakov N. 32. Sokolov I. 88. Tashaev R. (G) 6. Zakharov M.
21. Bogomolov D. 33. Domotsev A. 47. Guseynov R. 5. Krachkovskiy A. 44. Krakhmalev E. 96. Pomeshkin K. 86. Shaykhutdinov V. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Saygushev E. ↓, Guseynov R. ↑,
46', Saygushev E. ↓, Krachkovskiy A. ↑,
47', Magomadov C. 🟨,
71', Khagur R. 🟨,
72', 🟨,
72', Shevchenko D. ↓, Balkizov A. ↑,
72', Sherstobitov D. ↓, Sokolov I. ↑,
78', Abazov A. ↓, Bogomolov D. ↑,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 10th in the Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season: ) and 7th in the Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season: )).
Recent results have been tough for Kaluga (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Mashuk has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Mashuk holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Kaluga has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:1 (averaging 1.7:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kaluga against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Mashuk
15
2
11
2
14:14
0
17
10
Kaluga
15
1
7
7
11:19
-8
10
Last Results with these Odds
Kaluga - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.58%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 39.74%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.