Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Sputnik (Kaluga)


	Kaluga		Ufa

	1	X	2
	3.99	3.12	1.8
	3.9	3.05	1.76
	4.36	3.51	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↓ (6.01)	3.23 ↓ (3.32)	1.82 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaluga
22.2%

Draw
28%

Ufa
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

28.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

27.7%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kaluga's performance.

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ufa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaluga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ufa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tashaev R. (G) 14. Chibisov S. 33. Daliev D. (C) 18. Ivanushkin L. 2. Krotov S. 19. Kuzin N. Y. 66. Makarenko Y. 27. Muminov I. 94. Nadolsky A. 32. Sokolov I. 17. Sychev Y.	1. Kraykov T. (G) 14. Agapov I. 23. Akhatov D. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 10. Gongadze G. 69. Khanenko I. 9. Lipovoy D. 48. Lukyanov A. 19. Mayorov E. 17. Ozmanov D. (C) 20. Shipunov T.
Substitutes
7. Akimov E. 77. Balashov K. 11. Balkizov A. 1. Eshchenko S. (G) 8. Klishchenko D. 91. Lukinykh E. 78. Mukhin E. 31. Pervakov N. 59. Sherstobitov D. 37. Shevchenko D. 9. Sukhanov I.	88. Ageyan M. 7. Davlitgereev A. 13. Efremov N. 5. Kutin D. 56. Lyasov A. (G) 97. Polesovshchikov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Muminov I. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 1 - 0, Muminov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Agapov I. ↓, Davlitgereev A. ↑,
46', Ozmanov D. ↓, Kutin D. ↑,
46', Mayorov E. ↓, Ageyan M. ↑,
67', Sokolov I. ↓, Pervakov N. ↑,
67', Sychev Y. ↓, Mukhin E. ↑,
73', Khanenko I. 🟨,
73', Makarenko Y. ↓, Balashov K. ↑,
73', Nadolsky A. ↓, Balkizov A. ↑,
78', Davlitgereev A. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Ufa is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
05.09.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Kaluga	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Kaluga - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
25.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Kaluga	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
22.08.26	Kaluga - Dynamo Bryansk	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Kaluga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TTWLT
- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
05.09.26	Ufa - Veles Moscow	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ufa	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Ufa - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:1 ✺
17.08.26	Spartak Kostroma - Ufa	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Ural - Ufa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWWTL

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