Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - GROUP 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 34

Date: 10 June 2023, Saturday


	Kaluga		Metallurg Lipetsk

	1	X	2
	2.81	3.32	2.33
	2.75	3.25	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 (2.78)	3.29 ↑ (3.29)	2.32 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaluga
32.8%

Draw
27.8%

Metallurg Lipetsk
39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

26.9%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Kaluga have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Metallurg Lipetsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
74. Kovalev P. (G) 11. Egurnev A. 2. Eliseev I. 22. Eremin D. 3. Guzj D. (C) 5. Ilyukhin D. 10. Karpov A. 9. Khleborodov I. 6. Pustozerov A. 29. Samsonov A. 7. Sukhanov N.	23. Matyusha M. (G) 27. Alekseev A. 13. Boldyrev M. D. 2. Eleev M. 19. Glebov I. 10. Grigorjev M. 7. Ivannikov N. 25. Poyarkov D. 14. Smirnykh N. 5. Viktorov A. 20. Voydel R. (C)
Substitutes
77. Abramov V. 47. Azarenko M. 12. Demin D. 18. Korobov N. 24. Kortyaev R. A. 21. Kovalev R. A. 30. Martusevich M. 17. Novikov D. 45. Olenev A. 14. Shadura A. 16. Shebanov D. (G) 8. Sidorenkov A.	18. Bayazov V. 17. Gaydukov M. 21. Gorbatenko S. K. 16. Kobzev A. (G) 26. Kukishev D. 3. Sazonov M.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kaluga won 3.

Recent matches Kaluga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Metallurg Lipetsk is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kaluga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Kaluga won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Kaluga won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
04.06.23	Dynamo Bryansk - Kaluga	7:0 ✺
22.05.23	Ryazan - Kaluga	0:1 ✺
15.05.23	Kaluga - Rodina Moscow 2	1:2 ✺
10.05.23	Avangard Kursk - Kaluga	0:1 ✺
05.05.23	Kaluga - Dynamo Bryansk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWL
- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
28.05.23	Salyut Belgorod - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:0 ✺
21.05.23	Metallurg Lipetsk - Saturn Ramenskoye	4:2 ✺
15.05.23	Dynamo Vladivostok - Metallurg Lipetsk	3:1 ✺
10.05.23	Metallurg Lipetsk - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
05.05.23	Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
10.06.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Kaluga	0:0
08.11.20	Kaluga - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:1
Russian PFL Center
30.08.19	Metallurg Lipetsk - Kaluga	0:1
20.10.18	Kaluga - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:0
26.07.18	Metallurg Lipetsk - Kaluga	1:0
11.05.18	Metallurg Lipetsk - Kaluga	2:0
30.09.17	Kaluga - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:1

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